TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11908732
Played May 18Finished
Vladimir Cermak
Home
1.55
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511911116911––
BA Hoang Tai Nguyen
Away
2.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · BA Hoang Tai Nguyen below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 26–10 BA Hoang Tai Nguyen BA Hoang Tai Nguyen has won 10 of their 36 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Cermak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nguyen form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 1.55 / Nguyen 2.30
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Cermak)+6.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11908732
Cermak1.55
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Nguyen2.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCermak7wins
AwayNguyen3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCermak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCermak85.7%6 of 7
AwayNguyen66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cermak7Nguyen3n = 10Cermak took 7 of 10
S2Cermak7Nguyen3n = 10Cermak took 7 of 10
S3Cermak6Nguyen4n = 10Cermak took 6 of 10
S4Cermak3Nguyen4n = 7Nguyen took 4 of 7
S5Cermak2Nguyen1n = 3Cermak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCermakNguyenC − NBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.836.2+4.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakNguyenBasisWin rate · lifetime681 / 1312 vs 465 / 90751.9%51.3%681 / 1312 vs 465 / 907Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CermakCermak 1.55/Nguyen 2.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Cermak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Nguyen won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 18 · 10:30V. Cermak—3B. Nguyen—2
LMay 18 · 09:30V. Cermak—2B. Nguyen—3
WMay 18 · 08:00V. Cermak—3B. Nguyen—1
WMay 11 · 10:30V. Cermak—3B. Nguyen—0
WMay 4 · 09:30V. Cermak—3B. Nguyen—2
WMay 4 · 06:30V. Cermak—3B. Nguyen—0
WMay 1 · 24:00V. Cermak—3B. Nguyen—0
LApr 29 · 16:59V. Cermak—1B. Nguyen—3
WApr 29 · 15:00V. Cermak—3B. Nguyen—1
LApr 27 · 02:30V. Cermak—1B. Nguyen—3
V. Cermak10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101LSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113LSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113LAug 28 · 13:00V. Vejvoda2.38671113113V. Cermak1.53111181192
B. Nguyen10
WMay 18 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.911830B. Nguyen1.801111113WMay 18 · 11:30B. Nguyen1.44141110113M. Vedmoch2.631261281LMay 18 · 10:30V. Cermak1.369111011113B. Nguyen3.0011712562WMay 18 · 09:30B. Nguyen3.406111011113V. Cermak1.3011512382LMay 18 · 08:00V. Cermak1.3614148113B. Nguyen3.0012121191WMay 18 · 07:00J. Belovsky3.00881271B. Nguyen1.36111110113WMay 18 · 06:30B. Nguyen1.571311510123D. Parhomenko2.251171112102WMay 14 · 03:00B. Nguyen2.101111113P. Fojt1.675460WMay 14 · 02:30B. Nguyen1.671111113T. Barta2.109580LMay 14 · 01:30J. Plachy2.1011511113B. Nguyen1.67911951
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