TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11907693
Played May 18Finished
BA Hoang Tai Nguyen
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111151012113118
Vladimir Cermak
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingBA Hoang Tai Nguyen above · Vladimir Cermak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8
88 points played in total.
H2H BA Hoang Tai Nguyen 9–25 Vladimir Cermak BA Hoang Tai Nguyen has won 9 of their 34 meetings.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Cermak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nguyen form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNguyen 3.40 / Cermak 1.30
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Cermak)+6.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11907693
Nguyen3.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Cermak1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNguyen2wins
AwayCermak8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCermak leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNguyen66.7%2 of 3
AwayCermak100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nguyen3Cermak7n = 10Cermak took 7 of 10
S2Nguyen4Cermak6n = 10Cermak took 6 of 10
S3Nguyen3Cermak7n = 10Cermak took 7 of 10
S4Nguyen3Cermak4n = 7Cermak took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricNguyenCermakN − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.440.3−5.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNguyenCermakBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 903 vs 678 / 130851.2%51.8%462 / 903 vs 678 / 1308Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CermakNguyen 3.40/Cermak 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.3%
Cermak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nguyen won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 18 · 08:00B. Nguyen—1V. Cermak—3
LMay 11 · 10:30B. Nguyen—0V. Cermak—3
LMay 4 · 09:30B. Nguyen—2V. Cermak—3
LMay 4 · 06:30B. Nguyen—0V. Cermak—3
LMay 1 · 24:00B. Nguyen—0V. Cermak—3
WApr 29 · 16:59B. Nguyen—3V. Cermak—1
LApr 29 · 15:00B. Nguyen—1V. Cermak—3
WApr 27 · 02:30B. Nguyen—3V. Cermak—1
LApr 24 · 03:28B. Nguyen—1V. Cermak—3
LApr 23 · 23:30B. Nguyen—2V. Cermak—3
B. Nguyen10
WMay 18 · 13:30V. Cermak1.55591191B. Nguyen2.3011116113WMay 18 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.911830B. Nguyen1.801111113WMay 18 · 11:30B. Nguyen1.44141110113M. Vedmoch2.631261281LMay 18 · 10:30V. Cermak1.369111011113B. Nguyen3.0011712562LMay 18 · 08:00V. Cermak1.3614148113B. Nguyen3.0012121191WMay 18 · 07:00J. Belovsky3.00881271B. Nguyen1.36111110113WMay 18 · 06:30B. Nguyen1.571311510123D. Parhomenko2.251171112102WMay 14 · 03:00B. Nguyen2.101111113P. Fojt1.675460WMay 14 · 02:30B. Nguyen1.671111113T. Barta2.109580LMay 14 · 01:30J. Plachy2.1011511113B. Nguyen1.67911951
V. Cermak10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101LSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272LMay 18 · 13:30V. Cermak1.55591191B. Nguyen2.3011116113WMay 18 · 10:30V. Cermak1.369111011113B. Nguyen3.0011712562WMay 18 · 08:00V. Cermak1.3614148113B. Nguyen3.0012121191
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