TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11903360
Played May 18Finished
BA Hoang Tai Nguyen
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
131111751110121210
Dmitro Parhomenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingBA Hoang Tai Nguyen above · Dmitro Parhomenko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 102 set 5, 12-10
102 points played in total.
H2H BA Hoang Tai Nguyen 32–22 Dmitro Parhomenko Dmitro Parhomenko has won 22 of their 54 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Nguyen)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parhomenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNguyen 1.57 / Parhomenko 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Nguyen)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11903360
Nguyen1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 176 of 307
Up 2–0, closes it93% 76 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it78% 125 of 160
Parhomenko2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 174 of 399
Down 0–1, comes back28% 59 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back11% 13 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNguyen6wins
AwayParhomenko4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderNguyen leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNguyen66.7%4 of 6
AwayParhomenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nguyen6Parhomenko4n = 10Nguyen took 6 of 10
S2Nguyen6Parhomenko4n = 10Nguyen took 6 of 10
S3Nguyen6Parhomenko4n = 10Nguyen took 6 of 10
S4Nguyen4Parhomenko5n = 9Parhomenko took 5 of 9
S5Nguyen3Parhomenko3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNguyenParhomenkoN − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.941.0+1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNguyenParhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime466 / 908 vs 768 / 154451.3%49.7%466 / 908 vs 768 / 1544Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NguyenNguyen 1.57/Parhomenko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.9%
Nguyen · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nguyen won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 18 · 06:30B. Nguyen—3D. Parhomenko—2
WMay 13 · 09:30B. Nguyen—3D. Parhomenko—1
LMay 13 · 08:00B. Nguyen—2D. Parhomenko—3
LMay 9 · 11:00B. Nguyen—1D. Parhomenko—3
WMay 9 · 07:30B. Nguyen—3D. Parhomenko—2
LMay 1 · 22:30B. Nguyen—2D. Parhomenko—3
WApr 30 · 23:00B. Nguyen—3D. Parhomenko—1
WApr 14 · 13:00B. Nguyen—3D. Parhomenko—2
LApr 14 · 11:00B. Nguyen—2D. Parhomenko—3
WMar 29 · 18:00B. Nguyen—3D. Parhomenko—0
B. Nguyen10
WMay 18 · 13:30V. Cermak1.55591191B. Nguyen2.3011116113WMay 18 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.911830B. Nguyen1.801111113WMay 18 · 11:30B. Nguyen1.44141110113M. Vedmoch2.631261281LMay 18 · 10:30V. Cermak1.369111011113B. Nguyen3.0011712562WMay 18 · 09:30B. Nguyen3.406111011113V. Cermak1.3011512382LMay 18 · 08:00V. Cermak1.3614148113B. Nguyen3.0012121191WMay 18 · 07:00J. Belovsky3.00881271B. Nguyen1.36111110113WMay 14 · 03:00B. Nguyen2.101111113P. Fojt1.675460WMay 14 · 02:30B. Nguyen1.671111113T. Barta2.109580LMay 14 · 01:30J. Plachy2.1011511113B. Nguyen1.67911951
D. Parhomenko10
LSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:00J. Prokupek2.001111113D. Parhomenko1.739990LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113LSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113WSep 4 · 11:30J. Steffan3.009640D. Parhomenko1.361111113WSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143
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