TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11904431
Played May 18Finished
Josef Belovsky
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8118111210711––
BA Hoang Tai Nguyen
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingJosef Belovsky above · BA Hoang Tai Nguyen below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 78 set 4, 7-11
78 points played in total.
H2H Josef Belovsky 8–15 BA Hoang Tai Nguyen Josef Belovsky has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Nguyen)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nguyen form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelovsky 3.00 / Nguyen 1.36
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Nguyen)+6.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11904431
Belovsky3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 63 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 56
Nguyen1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 176 of 307
Up 2–0, closes it93% 76 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it78% 125 of 160
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBelovsky3wins
AwayNguyen7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderNguyen leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBelovsky60%3 of 5
AwayNguyen100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Belovsky5Nguyen5n = 10split evenly
S2Belovsky3Nguyen7n = 10Nguyen took 7 of 10
S3Belovsky4Nguyen6n = 10Nguyen took 6 of 10
S4Belovsky4Nguyen4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBelovskyNguyenB − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.038.4−1.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelovskyNguyenBasisWin rate · lifetime379 / 777 vs 466 / 90848.8%51.3%379 / 777 vs 466 / 908Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NguyenBelovsky 3.00/Nguyen 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.8%
Nguyen · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Nguyen won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 18 · 07:00J. Belovsky—1B. Nguyen—3
LMay 13 · 06:30J. Belovsky—1B. Nguyen—3
WMay 8 · 17:00J. Belovsky—3B. Nguyen—1
WMay 8 · 14:30J. Belovsky—3B. Nguyen—1
LApr 23 · 07:30J. Belovsky—0B. Nguyen—3
LApr 20 · 13:00J. Belovsky—1B. Nguyen—3
LApr 20 · 10:00J. Belovsky—0B. Nguyen—3
LApr 17 · 16:00J. Belovsky—2B. Nguyen—3
LApr 1 · 17:29J. Belovsky—2B. Nguyen—3
WApr 1 · 16:00J. Belovsky—3B. Nguyen—1
J. Belovsky10
WJun 12 · 09:01V. Havlicek1.576790J. Belovsky2.251111113LJun 12 · 08:30J. Belovsky2.001287101V. Havlicek1.73101111123LJun 12 · 07:00J. Belovsky1.44871151K. Darin2.6311118113LJun 12 · 06:00D. Parhomenko1.73911118113J. Belovsky2.0011851152WJun 11 · 13:30J. Belovsky1.40111255113K. Darin2.75810111192WJun 11 · 12:00J. Belovsky2.38512116113J. Bresky1.53111091192WJun 11 · 11:30K. Darin3.00111184112J. Belovsky1.36691111133WJun 11 · 10:00J. Belovsky1.801112113L. Stacho1.9151070WJun 8 · 09:30V. Havlicek1.507370J. Belovsky2.501111113WJun 8 · 08:00J. Belovsky2.101111113M. Vesely1.674580
B. Nguyen10
WMay 18 · 13:30V. Cermak1.55591191B. Nguyen2.3011116113WMay 18 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.911830B. Nguyen1.801111113WMay 18 · 11:30B. Nguyen1.44141110113M. Vedmoch2.631261281LMay 18 · 10:30V. Cermak1.369111011113B. Nguyen3.0011712562WMay 18 · 09:30B. Nguyen3.406111011113V. Cermak1.3011512382LMay 18 · 08:00V. Cermak1.3614148113B. Nguyen3.0012121191WMay 18 · 06:30B. Nguyen1.571311510123D. Parhomenko2.251171112102WMay 14 · 03:00B. Nguyen2.101111113P. Fojt1.675460WMay 14 · 02:30B. Nguyen1.671111113T. Barta2.109580LMay 14 · 01:30J. Plachy2.1011511113B. Nguyen1.67911951
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