TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Luis Kraus vs Marcelo Aguirre 1-3 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played May 8Finished
Luis Kraus
Home
10.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4115111210511––
Marcelo Aguirre
Away
1.03
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingLuis Kraus above · Marcelo Aguirre below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 69 set 4, 5-11
69 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Aguirre)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKraus 10.50 / Aguirre 1.02
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Aguirre)-23.6pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11852700
Kraus10.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Aguirre1.02
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrausAguirreBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 169 vs 10 / 1635.5%62.5%60 / 169 vs 10 / 16Avg sets wonper match1.52.5per matchAvg pointsper match31.141.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AguirreKraus 10.50/Aguirre 1.02
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Aguirre · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Aguirre won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Kraus10
WAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191LAug 7 · 09:16A. Mino1.201111113L. Kraus4.008530LAug 7 · 06:30A. Mino1.171181011113L. Kraus4.5081112822LAug 6 · 16:30D. Zech3.00811411113L. Kraus1.3611911432LAug 6 · 15:00K. Fadeev1.14717115133L. Kraus5.001115711112LAug 6 · 13:30L. Kraus2.5087111152K. Zimmermann1.50111188113WAug 6 · 11:30L. Kraus2.151161110113T. Saltzer1.6351171272WAug 6 · 10:00L. Kraus1.251111113T. Freund3.758730WAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113WAug 4 · 06:30J. Willeke2.63661141L. Kraus1.4411117113
M. Aguirre10
LJul 12 · 14:45M. Aguirre1.57111111472A. Kouraichi2.25136811113WJul 11 · 22:25M. Aguirre1.47611115113I. Diaw2.3811891172WJul 11 · 16:55N. Tauler3.75911611122M. Aguirre1.25118117143WJul 10 · 15:55M. Aguirre1.071111611113F. Arado7.5013511552WMay 12 · 11:00M. Aguirre1.2211118113E. Mendes4.00851181WMay 12 · 09:15M. Aguirre1.521111113G. Alcayde2.357550WMay 12 · 08:30Y. Batix4.505580M. Aguirre1.171111113WMay 11 · 17:00N. Kizakisz10.00591141M. Aguirre1.0311119113WMay 11 · 15:30M. Aguirre1.1711811153G. Alcayde4.507117131WMay 11 · 13:00M. Aguirre—1111113E. Huzsvar—9830
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