TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11871683
Played May 11Finished
Marcelo Aguirre
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1178111171513––
Guillaume Alcayde
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMarcelo Aguirre above · Guillaume Alcayde below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 83 set 4, 15-13
83 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Aguirre)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Alcayde form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAguirre 1.17 / Alcayde 4.50
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Aguirre)-8.4pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11871683
Aguirre1.17
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Alcayde4.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAguirreAlcaydeBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 11 vs 46 / 7090.9%65.7%10 / 11 vs 46 / 70Avg sets wonper match2.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AguirreAguirre 1.17/Alcayde 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71%
Aguirre · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Aguirre won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Aguirre10
LJul 12 · 14:45M. Aguirre1.57111111472A. Kouraichi2.25136811113WJul 11 · 22:25M. Aguirre1.47611115113I. Diaw2.3811891172WJul 11 · 16:55N. Tauler3.75911611122M. Aguirre1.25118117143WJul 10 · 15:55M. Aguirre1.071111611113F. Arado7.5013511552WMay 12 · 11:00M. Aguirre1.2211118113E. Mendes4.00851181WMay 12 · 09:15M. Aguirre1.521111113G. Alcayde2.357550WMay 12 · 08:30Y. Batix4.505580M. Aguirre1.171111113WMay 11 · 17:00N. Kizakisz10.00591141M. Aguirre1.0311119113WMay 11 · 13:00M. Aguirre—1111113E. Huzsvar—9830WMay 11 · 11:30A. Moreno12.006630M. Aguirre1.011111113
G. Alcayde10
WMay 15 · 10:59M. Danzer1.6711117892G. Alcayde2.10921111113WMay 15 · 09:45G. Alcayde1.50312116113M. Scharrer2.50111081192LMay 15 · 08:30M. Danzer1.53851111113G. Alcayde2.3811119882WMay 14 · 17:00S. Happek6.00881161G. Alcayde1.1111115113WMay 14 · 15:30G. Alcayde1.111111133D. Zech6.0088110WMay 14 · 13:00G. Alcayde1.041111113L. Dreykorn9.008680LMay 14 · 11:30M. Scharrer2.381113113G. Alcayde1.5331180WMay 14 · 09:30J. Lama4.33211551G. Alcayde1.2011611113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillion8.50513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113LMay 12 · 09:15M. Aguirre1.521111113G. Alcayde2.357550
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