TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11879424
Played May 12Finished
Marcelo Aguirre
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118115811118––
Enio Mendes
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingMarcelo Aguirre above · Enio Mendes below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8
73 points played in total.
H2H Marcelo Aguirre 1–0 Enio Mendes Enio Mendes has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Aguirre)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mendes form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAguirre 1.22 / Mendes 4.00
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Aguirre)-9.8pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11879424
Aguirre1.22
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Mendes4.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAguirre1wins
AwayMendes0wins
Aguirre leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAguirreMendesA − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match38.036.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAguirreMendesBasisWin rate · lifetime14 / 15 vs 30 / 4193.3%73.2%14 / 15 vs 30 / 41Avg sets wonper match2.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.635.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AguirreAguirre 1.22/Mendes 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.8%
Aguirre · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Aguirre won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 11 · 09:30M. Aguirre—3E. Mendes—1
M. Aguirre10
LJul 12 · 14:45M. Aguirre1.57111111472A. Kouraichi2.25136811113WJul 11 · 22:25M. Aguirre1.47611115113I. Diaw2.3811891172WJul 11 · 16:55N. Tauler3.75911611122M. Aguirre1.25118117143WJul 10 · 15:55M. Aguirre1.071111611113F. Arado7.5013511552WMay 12 · 09:15M. Aguirre1.521111113G. Alcayde2.357550WMay 12 · 08:30Y. Batix4.505580M. Aguirre1.171111113WMay 11 · 17:00N. Kizakisz10.00591141M. Aguirre1.0311119113WMay 11 · 15:30M. Aguirre1.1711811153G. Alcayde4.507117131WMay 11 · 13:00M. Aguirre—1111113E. Huzsvar—9830WMay 11 · 11:30A. Moreno12.006630M. Aguirre1.011111113
E. Mendes10
WJul 7 · 11:00D. Rinderer1.67119151152E. Mendes2.10711177113WJul 7 · 09:45T. Saltzer3.855116101E. Mendes1.2011711123WJul 7 · 08:30L. Kraus6.5076100E. Mendes1.101111123LJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 15:30E. Mendes1.6711811113K. Fadeev2.10711821WJul 6 · 13:00E. Mendes—1111113T. Saltzer—4470WJul 6 · 11:30S. Happek7.005580E. Mendes1.081111113WJul 6 · 09:30C. Schmitt10.5011196872E. Mendes1.028171111113LJul 6 · 07:30D. Rinderer1.731111113E. Mendes2.009990WJun 9 · 11:10K. Walter4.50841171E. Mendes1.1711118113
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