TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11879089
Played May 12Finished
Marcelo Aguirre
Home
1.52
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115115––––
Guillaume Alcayde
Away
2.35
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMarcelo Aguirre above · Guillaume Alcayde below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 50 set 3, 11-5
50 points played in total.
H2H Marcelo Aguirre 1–0 Guillaume Alcayde Guillaume Alcayde has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Aguirre)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Alcayde form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAguirre 1.52 / Alcayde 2.35
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Aguirre)+0.3pp
Challenger Series TT · #11879089
Aguirre1.52
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Alcayde2.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAguirre1wins
AwayAlcayde0wins
Aguirre leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAguirreAlcaydeAguirre − AlcaydeBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.038.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAguirreAlcaydeBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 14 vs 48 / 7392.9%65.8%13 / 14 vs 48 / 73Avg sets wonper match2.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AguirreAguirre 1.52/Alcayde 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61%
Aguirre · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Aguirre won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 11 · 15:30M. Aguirre—3G. Alcayde—1
M. Aguirre10
LJul 12 · 14:45M. Aguirre1.57111111472A. Kouraichi2.25136811113WJul 11 · 22:25M. Aguirre1.47611115113I. Diaw2.3811891172WJul 11 · 16:55N. Tauler3.75911611122M. Aguirre1.25118117143WJul 10 · 15:55M. Aguirre1.071111611113F. Arado7.5013511552WMay 12 · 11:00M. Aguirre1.2211118113E. Mendes4.00851181WMay 12 · 08:30Y. Batix4.505580M. Aguirre1.171111113WMay 11 · 17:00N. Kizakisz10.00591141M. Aguirre1.0311119113WMay 11 · 15:30M. Aguirre1.1711811153G. Alcayde4.507117131WMay 11 · 13:00M. Aguirre—1111113E. Huzsvar—9830WMay 11 · 11:30A. Moreno12.006630M. Aguirre1.011111113
G. Alcayde10
WMay 15 · 10:59M. Danzer1.6711117892G. Alcayde2.10921111113WMay 15 · 09:45G. Alcayde1.50312116113M. Scharrer2.50111081192LMay 15 · 08:30M. Danzer1.53851111113G. Alcayde2.3811119882WMay 14 · 17:00S. Happek6.00881161G. Alcayde1.1111115113WMay 14 · 15:30G. Alcayde1.111111133D. Zech6.0088110WMay 14 · 13:00G. Alcayde1.041111113L. Dreykorn9.008680LMay 14 · 11:30M. Scharrer2.381113113G. Alcayde1.5331180WMay 14 · 09:30J. Lama4.33211551G. Alcayde1.2011611113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillion8.50513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113LMay 11 · 15:30M. Aguirre1.1711811153G. Alcayde4.507117131
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