TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11791313
Played Apr 27Finished
Luis Kraus
Home
5.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–2Last 5Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
16183111311311––
Raegan Albuquerque
Away
1.13
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–2Last 5Lost last 1
How it is goingLuis Kraus above · Raegan Albuquerque below
Set 1 · 16-18
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 86 set 4, 3-11
86 points played in total.
H2H Luis Kraus 0–1 Raegan Albuquerque Luis Kraus has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Albuquerque)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Albuquerque form (60%) is below what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKraus 5.50 / Albuquerque 1.13
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Albuquerque)-13.6pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11791313
Kraus5.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Albuquerque1.13
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKraus0wins
AwayAlbuquerque1wins
Albuquerque leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKrausAlbuquerqueK − ABasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.041.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrausAlbuquerqueBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 149 vs 13 / 2235.6%59.1%53 / 149 vs 13 / 22Avg sets wonper match1.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match31.236.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlbuquerqueKraus 5.50/Albuquerque 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.4%
Albuquerque · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Albuquerque won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
L—L. Kraus—1R. Albuquerque—3
L. Kraus10
WAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191LAug 7 · 09:16A. Mino1.201111113L. Kraus4.008530LAug 7 · 06:30A. Mino1.171181011113L. Kraus4.5081112822LAug 6 · 16:30D. Zech3.00811411113L. Kraus1.3611911432LAug 6 · 15:00K. Fadeev1.14717115133L. Kraus5.001115711112LAug 6 · 13:30L. Kraus2.5087111152K. Zimmermann1.50111188113WAug 6 · 11:30L. Kraus2.151161110113T. Saltzer1.6351171272WAug 6 · 10:00L. Kraus1.251111113T. Freund3.758730WAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113WAug 4 · 06:30J. Willeke2.63661141L. Kraus1.4411117113
R. Albuquerque10
LApr 28 · 10:00F. Bluhm1.281111113R. Albuquerque3.506380WApr 28 · 09:45R. Albuquerque1.131111113L. Kraus4.656840WApr 28 · 08:45R. Albuquerque1.141111113L. Kraus5.006840WApr 27 · 17:00J. Lama4.3381140R. Albuquerque1.201113113LApr 27 · 15:30R. Albuquerque3.004121181F. Bluhm1.3611149113WApr 27 · 13:00R. Albuquerque—91111163E. Huzsvar—1189141LApr 27 · 09:30M. Stefanidis—121186113R. Albuquerque—109111192WApr 27 · 07:30E. Valenet3.501081281R. Albuquerque1.28121110113LApr 21 · 11:00P. David2.50111115113R. Albuquerque1.501311391WApr 21 · 09:44R. Albuquerque2.2511115113R. Turrini1.57871181
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