TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11777874
Played Apr 21Finished
Petr David
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11131111513119––
Raegan Albuquerque
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingPetr David above · Raegan Albuquerque below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 84 set 4, 11-9
84 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 0–1 Raegan Albuquerque Petr David has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Albuquerque)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Albuquerque form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 2.50 / Albuquerque 1.50
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Albuquerque)-4.9pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11777874
David2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Albuquerque1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDavid0wins
AwayAlbuquerque1wins
Albuquerque leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricDavidAlbuquerqueD − ABasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match22.036.0−14.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidAlbuquerqueBasisWin rate · lifetime933 / 1416 vs 10 / 1765.9%58.8%933 / 1416 vs 10 / 17Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.334.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlbuquerqueDavid 2.50/Albuquerque 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.6%
Albuquerque · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
L—P. David—0R. Albuquerque—3
P. David10
LSep 7 · 11:40P. David1.3061381162K. Kolodziej3.401111115113WSep 7 · 10:00P. David1.73141711113S. Kolasa2.001219361LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113WSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121LSep 3 · 12:30P. David1.571081161A. Wiecek2.2512117113WSep 3 · 11:15P. David1.3011116113K. Kolodziej3.40871151WSep 3 · 10:00A. Dosz2.001110761P. David1.7391211113
R. Albuquerque10
LApr 28 · 10:00F. Bluhm1.281111113R. Albuquerque3.506380WApr 28 · 09:45R. Albuquerque1.131111113L. Kraus4.656840WApr 28 · 08:45R. Albuquerque1.141111113L. Kraus5.006840WApr 27 · 17:00J. Lama4.3381140R. Albuquerque1.201113113LApr 27 · 15:30R. Albuquerque3.004121181F. Bluhm1.3611149113WApr 27 · 13:00R. Albuquerque—91111163E. Huzsvar—1189141WApr 27 · 11:30L. Kraus5.501631331R. Albuquerque1.13181111113LApr 27 · 09:30M. Stefanidis—121186113R. Albuquerque—109111192WApr 27 · 07:30E. Valenet3.501081281R. Albuquerque1.28121110113WApr 21 · 09:44R. Albuquerque2.2511115113R. Turrini1.57871181
Upcoming Matches
P. David
R. Albuquerque
Nothing scheduled
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