TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11777652
Played Apr 21Finished
Raegan Albuquerque
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118117511118––
Rafael Turrini
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRaegan Albuquerque above · Rafael Turrini below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-6
Point 68 set 4, 9-6
68 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Raegan Albuquerque 1–1 Rafael Turrini Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Turrini)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Turrini form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAlbuquerque 2.25 / Turrini 1.57
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Turrini)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11777652
Albuquerque2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Turrini1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeAlbuquerque1wins
AwayTurrini1wins
Level at 1–1.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricAlbuquerqueTurriniA − TBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.543.0−0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAlbuquerqueTurriniBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 17 vs 305 / 39358.8%77.6%10 / 17 vs 305 / 393Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match34.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TurriniAlbuquerque 2.25/Turrini 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Turrini · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Albuquerque won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
W—R. Albuquerque—1R. Turrini—3
L—R. Albuquerque—3R. Turrini—2
R. Albuquerque10
LApr 28 · 10:00F. Bluhm1.281111113R. Albuquerque3.506380WApr 28 · 09:45R. Albuquerque1.131111113L. Kraus4.656840WApr 28 · 08:45R. Albuquerque1.141111113L. Kraus5.006840WApr 27 · 17:00J. Lama4.3381140R. Albuquerque1.201113113LApr 27 · 15:30R. Albuquerque3.004121181F. Bluhm1.3611149113WApr 27 · 13:00R. Albuquerque—91111163E. Huzsvar—1189141WApr 27 · 11:30L. Kraus5.501631331R. Albuquerque1.13181111113LApr 27 · 09:30M. Stefanidis—121186113R. Albuquerque—109111192WApr 27 · 07:30E. Valenet3.501081281R. Albuquerque1.28121110113LApr 21 · 11:00P. David2.50111115113R. Albuquerque1.501311391
R. Turrini10
WSep 7 · 11:00R. Turrini1.011211113C. Schmitt13.0010760WSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113WSep 7 · 07:00R. Turrini1.321111143S. Almeida2.9554120LJul 22 · 20:55R. Turrini—5970E. Otalvaro—1111113WJul 21 · 20:35R. Turrini—11911123V. Thiofilo—9112101WJun 2 · 11:00R. Turrini1.281111113D. Rinderer3.509750WJun 2 · 09:15R. Turrini1.171111123J. Shim4.5099100WJun 2 · 08:30R. Turrini1.501111113E. Mendes2.506870WJun 2 · 06:30R. Turrini1.131111113K. Zimmermann5.507840WJun 1 · 16:00R. Turrini1.3091111113D. Rinderer3.40115571
Upcoming Matches
R. Albuquerque
Nothing scheduled
R. Turrini
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