TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11809923
Played Apr 28Finished
Raegan Albuquerque
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118114––––
Luis Kraus
Away
5.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingRaegan Albuquerque above · Luis Kraus below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 51 set 3, 11-4
51 points played in total.
H2H Raegan Albuquerque 2–0 Luis Kraus Luis Kraus has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Albuquerque)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraus form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAlbuquerque 1.14 / Kraus 5.00
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Albuquerque)-14.1pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11809923
Albuquerque1.14
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kraus5.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeAlbuquerque2wins
AwayKraus0wins
Albuquerque leads 2–0.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricAlbuquerqueKrausA − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match46.035.0+11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAlbuquerqueKrausBasisWin rate · lifetime16 / 26 vs 55 / 15361.5%36%16 / 26 vs 55 / 153Avg sets wonper match2.21.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.431.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlbuquerqueAlbuquerque 1.14/Kraus 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Albuquerque · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Albuquerque won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
W—R. Albuquerque—1L. Kraus—3
W—R. Albuquerque—1L. Kraus—3
R. Albuquerque10
LApr 28 · 10:00F. Bluhm1.281111113R. Albuquerque3.506380WApr 28 · 09:45R. Albuquerque1.131111113L. Kraus4.656840WApr 27 · 17:00J. Lama4.3381140R. Albuquerque1.201113113LApr 27 · 15:30R. Albuquerque3.004121181F. Bluhm1.3611149113WApr 27 · 13:00R. Albuquerque—91111163E. Huzsvar—1189141WApr 27 · 11:30L. Kraus5.501631331R. Albuquerque1.13181111113LApr 27 · 09:30M. Stefanidis—121186113R. Albuquerque—109111192WApr 27 · 07:30E. Valenet3.501081281R. Albuquerque1.28121110113LApr 21 · 11:00P. David2.50111115113R. Albuquerque1.501311391WApr 21 · 09:44R. Albuquerque2.2511115113R. Turrini1.57871181
L. Kraus10
WAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191LAug 7 · 09:16A. Mino1.201111113L. Kraus4.008530LAug 7 · 06:30A. Mino1.171181011113L. Kraus4.5081112822LAug 6 · 16:30D. Zech3.00811411113L. Kraus1.3611911432LAug 6 · 15:00K. Fadeev1.14717115133L. Kraus5.001115711112LAug 6 · 13:30L. Kraus2.5087111152K. Zimmermann1.50111188113WAug 6 · 11:30L. Kraus2.151161110113T. Saltzer1.6351171272WAug 6 · 10:00L. Kraus1.251111113T. Freund3.758730LApr 28 · 09:45R. Albuquerque1.131111113L. Kraus4.656840LApr 27 · 11:30L. Kraus5.501631331R. Albuquerque1.13181111113
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