TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Pylyp Koloidenko vs Guillaume Alcayde 2-3 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Apr 16Finished
Pylyp Koloidenko
Home
6.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111210119811911
Guillaume Alcayde
Away
1.11
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingPylyp Koloidenko above · Guillaume Alcayde below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 100 set 5, 9-11
100 points played in total.
H2H Pylyp Koloidenko 1–3 Guillaume Alcayde Pylyp Koloidenko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Alcayde)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Alcayde form (40%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoloidenko 6.00 / Alcayde 1.11
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Alcayde)+1.6pp
Challenger Series TT · #11751561
Koloidenko6.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Alcayde1.11
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKoloidenko1wins
AwayAlcayde3wins
Alcayde leads 3–1.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koloidenko0Alcayde4n = 4Alcayde took 4 of 4
S2Koloidenko1Alcayde3n = 4Alcayde took 3 of 4
S3Koloidenko1Alcayde3n = 4Alcayde took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricKoloidenkoAlcaydeK − ABasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match28.239.8−11.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoloidenkoAlcaydeBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 231 vs 46 / 6930.3%66.7%70 / 231 vs 46 / 69Avg sets wonper match1.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match32.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlcaydeKoloidenko 6.00/Alcayde 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86%
Alcayde · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Alcayde won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
L—P. Koloidenko—0G. Alcayde—3
L—P. Koloidenko—3G. Alcayde—0
W—P. Koloidenko—2G. Alcayde—3
L—P. Koloidenko—1G. Alcayde—3
P. Koloidenko10
LAug 25 · 08:00P. Koloidenko5.106560E. Huzsvar1.121111113WAug 24 · 17:00P. Koloidenko2.001111113M. Kupfer1.736950WAug 24 · 15:00P. Koloidenko2.00471611123J. Willeke1.731111146102LAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113LAug 24 · 10:30P. Koloidenko4.50611771M. Henninger1.1711811113LAug 24 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.08167111162A. Moreno7.00181196113LAug 24 · 06:30P. Koloidenko7.506770V. Yefimov1.071111113WApr 17 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.081211113A. Moreno7.0010730LApr 17 · 06:30P. Koloidenko2.1011111131Y. Rebetez1.6713136113LApr 16 · 16:00P. Koloidenko7.5091351162D. Rinderer1.071111114113
G. Alcayde10
WMay 15 · 10:59M. Danzer1.6711117892G. Alcayde2.10921111113WMay 15 · 09:45G. Alcayde1.50312116113M. Scharrer2.50111081192LMay 15 · 08:30M. Danzer1.53851111113G. Alcayde2.3811119882WMay 14 · 17:00S. Happek6.00881161G. Alcayde1.1111115113WMay 14 · 15:30G. Alcayde1.111111133D. Zech6.0088110WMay 14 · 13:00G. Alcayde1.041111113L. Dreykorn9.008680LMay 14 · 11:30M. Scharrer2.381113113G. Alcayde1.5331180WMay 14 · 09:30J. Lama4.33211551G. Alcayde1.2011611113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillion8.50513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillon6.30513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113
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