TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11738863
Played Apr 14Finished
Francesco Maragioglio
Home
9.00
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116211119711911
Kirill Fadeev
Away
1.04
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingFrancesco Maragioglio above · Kirill Fadeev below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 88 set 5, 9-11
88 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 93% — Strong (leans Fadeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fadeev form (80%) is below what odds imply (96%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaragioglio 9.00 / Fadeev 1.04
Signal prob.7% / 93%
Edge (Fadeev)+3.1pp
Challenger Series TT · #11738863
Maragioglio9.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Fadeev1.04
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaragioglioFadeevBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 62 vs 134 / 20030.7%67%19 / 62 vs 134 / 200Avg sets wonper match1.42.4per matchAvg pointsper match29.736.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevMaragioglio 9.00/Fadeev 1.04
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
92.7%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fadeev won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Maragioglio10
LApr 13 · 17:00F. Maragioglio4.33114831M. Neumaier1.2031111113LApr 13 · 15:00F. Maragioglio7.507530J. Loffler1.071111113LApr 13 · 14:00F. Maragioglio9.003670M. Hollo1.041111113LApr 13 · 10:30F. Maragioglio9.00791171G. Alcayde1.0411119113LApr 13 · 08:30F. Maragioglio2.103330P. Koloidenko1.671111113LApr 13 · 06:30F. Maragioglio4.00126561E. Huzsvar1.22101111113LDec 9 · 11:30F. Maragioglio—42180M. Stefanidis—1111203LDec 9 · 10:15D. Cheaib1.041111113F. Maragioglio9.006950WDec 9 · 07:30K. Walter1.409880F. Maragioglio2.751111113LDec 8 · 17:30D. Cheaib1.031111113F. Maragioglio10.006630
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 13:30K. Fadeev—15211113S. Almeida—1311481WSep 7 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.361111113V. Senkbeil3.008490WSep 7 · 10:00K. Fadeev1.0311118113C. Schmitt10.00491161WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183
Upcoming Matches
F. Maragioglio
Nothing scheduled
K. Fadeev
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