TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11737858
Played Apr 13Finished
Francesco Maragioglio
Home
9.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311611711––––
Mike Hollo
Away
1.04
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingFrancesco Maragioglio above · Mike Hollo below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 49 set 3, 7-11
49 points played in total.
H2H Francesco Maragioglio 0–1 Mike Hollo Francesco Maragioglio has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Hollo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hollo form (20%) is below what odds imply (96%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaragioglio 9.00 / Hollo 1.04
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Hollo)-6.2pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11737858
Maragioglio9.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Hollo1.04
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMaragioglio0wins
AwayHollo1wins
Hollo leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricMaragioglioHolloM − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaragioglioHolloBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 59 vs 116 / 19732.2%58.9%19 / 59 vs 116 / 197Avg sets wonper match1.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match30.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolloMaragioglio 9.00/Hollo 1.04
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.4%
Hollo · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hollo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
L—F. Maragioglio—3M. Hollo—0
F. Maragioglio10
LApr 14 · 08:00F. Maragioglio9.0011211792K. Fadeev1.04611911113LApr 13 · 17:00F. Maragioglio4.33114831M. Neumaier1.2031111113LApr 13 · 15:00F. Maragioglio7.507530J. Loffler1.071111113LApr 13 · 10:30F. Maragioglio9.00791171G. Alcayde1.0411119113LApr 13 · 08:30F. Maragioglio2.103330P. Koloidenko1.671111113LApr 13 · 06:30F. Maragioglio4.00126561E. Huzsvar1.22101111113LDec 9 · 11:30F. Maragioglio—42180M. Stefanidis—1111203LDec 9 · 10:15D. Cheaib1.041111113F. Maragioglio9.006950WDec 9 · 07:30K. Walter1.409880F. Maragioglio2.751111113LDec 8 · 17:30D. Cheaib1.031111113F. Maragioglio10.006630
M. Hollo10
WMay 19 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.40119571M. Hollo1.3081111113LMay 19 · 09:45I. Bertrand1.1781111113M. Hollo4.50116661WMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113WMay 18 · 17:00A. Itagaki3.4011114882M. Hollo1.30221111113LMay 18 · 15:30M. Hollo1.28117100L. Kraus3.501311123WMay 18 · 13:00M. Hollo1.071111113A. Cseri7.507670WMay 18 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.57961121M. Hollo2.2511116113WMay 18 · 09:30J. Loffler2.5011611131M. Hollo1.5081113153LMay 18 · 07:30I. Bertrand1.1712117113M. Hollo4.501081191LMay 8 · 08:30D. Reitspies1.251111113M. Hollo3.753470
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