TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11737848
Played Apr 13Finished
Francesco Maragioglio
Home
9.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711911119711––
Guillaume Alcayde
Away
1.04
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingFrancesco Maragioglio above · Guillaume Alcayde below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 76 set 4, 7-11
76 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Alcayde)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Alcayde form (60%) is below what odds imply (96%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaragioglio 9.00 / Alcayde 1.04
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Alcayde)-7.6pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11737848
Maragioglio9.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Alcayde1.04
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaragioglioAlcaydeBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 56 vs 44 / 6333.9%69.8%19 / 56 vs 44 / 63Avg sets wonper match1.42.3per matchAvg pointsper match30.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlcaydeMaragioglio 9.00/Alcayde 1.04
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82%
Alcayde · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Alcayde won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Maragioglio10
LApr 14 · 08:00F. Maragioglio9.0011211792K. Fadeev1.04611911113LApr 13 · 17:00F. Maragioglio4.33114831M. Neumaier1.2031111113LApr 13 · 15:00F. Maragioglio7.507530J. Loffler1.071111113LApr 13 · 14:00F. Maragioglio9.003670M. Hollo1.041111113LApr 13 · 08:30F. Maragioglio2.103330P. Koloidenko1.671111113LApr 13 · 06:30F. Maragioglio4.00126561E. Huzsvar1.22101111113LDec 9 · 11:30F. Maragioglio—42180M. Stefanidis—1111203LDec 9 · 10:15D. Cheaib1.041111113F. Maragioglio9.006950WDec 9 · 07:30K. Walter1.409880F. Maragioglio2.751111113LDec 8 · 17:30D. Cheaib1.031111113F. Maragioglio10.006630
G. Alcayde10
WMay 15 · 10:59M. Danzer1.6711117892G. Alcayde2.10921111113WMay 15 · 09:45G. Alcayde1.50312116113M. Scharrer2.50111081192LMay 15 · 08:30M. Danzer1.53851111113G. Alcayde2.3811119882WMay 14 · 17:00S. Happek6.00881161G. Alcayde1.1111115113WMay 14 · 15:30G. Alcayde1.111111133D. Zech6.0088110WMay 14 · 13:00G. Alcayde1.041111113L. Dreykorn9.008680LMay 14 · 11:30M. Scharrer2.381113113G. Alcayde1.5331180WMay 14 · 09:30J. Lama4.33211551G. Alcayde1.2011611113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillion8.50513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillon6.30513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113
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