TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11737863
Played Apr 13Finished
Francesco Maragioglio
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
113411811311––
Marcel Neumaier
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingFrancesco Maragioglio above · Marcel Neumaier below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 62 set 4, 3-11
62 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Neumaier)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neumaier form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaragioglio 4.33 / Neumaier 1.20
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Neumaier)+7.1pp
Challenger Series TT · #11737863
Maragioglio4.33
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Neumaier1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaragioglioNeumaierBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 61 vs 50 / 10531.2%47.6%19 / 61 vs 50 / 105Avg sets wonper match1.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match29.834.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeumaierMaragioglio 4.33/Neumaier 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.4%
Neumaier · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Neumaier won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Maragioglio10
LApr 14 · 08:00F. Maragioglio9.0011211792K. Fadeev1.04611911113LApr 13 · 15:00F. Maragioglio7.507530J. Loffler1.071111113LApr 13 · 14:00F. Maragioglio9.003670M. Hollo1.041111113LApr 13 · 10:30F. Maragioglio9.00791171G. Alcayde1.0411119113LApr 13 · 08:30F. Maragioglio2.103330P. Koloidenko1.671111113LApr 13 · 06:30F. Maragioglio4.00126561E. Huzsvar1.22101111113LDec 9 · 11:30F. Maragioglio—42180M. Stefanidis—1111203LDec 9 · 10:15D. Cheaib1.041111113F. Maragioglio9.006950WDec 9 · 07:30K. Walter1.409880F. Maragioglio2.751111113LDec 8 · 17:30D. Cheaib1.031111113F. Maragioglio10.006630
M. Neumaier10
LAug 14 · 10:30M. Stefanidis—1111113M. Neumaier—9880LAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.061111133M. Neumaier8.0096110LAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.051111133M. Neumaier8.0096110LAug 14 · 08:00O. Kosolosky1.1791111113M. Neumaier4.50114671WAug 14 · 07:00M. Neumaier1.091111113N. Kizakisz5.803120WAug 13 · 15:30M. Kupfer4.50115581M. Neumaier1.1791111113LAug 13 · 13:30M. Stefanidis—119611113M. Neumaier—61111782WAug 13 · 12:00L. Qiu1.20117981M. Neumaier4.3371111113WAug 13 · 09:00D. Zech4.331177101M. Neumaier1.2081111123LAug 13 · 07:00D. Cheaib1.071111113M. Neumaier7.505920
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