TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11737869
Played Apr 13Finished
Francesco Maragioglio
Home
7.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511311––––
Jeromy Loffler
Away
1.07
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingFrancesco Maragioglio above · Jeromy Loffler below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 48 set 3, 3-11
48 points played in total.
H2H Francesco Maragioglio 0–1 Jeromy Loffler Francesco Maragioglio has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Loffler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loffler form (80%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaragioglio 7.50 / Loffler 1.07
Signal prob.10% / 90%
Edge (Loffler)+2.3pp
Challenger Series TT · #11737869
Maragioglio7.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Loffler1.07
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMaragioglio0wins
AwayLoffler1wins
Loffler leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMaragioglioLofflerM − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match30.041.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaragioglioLofflerBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 59 vs 76 / 13632.2%55.9%19 / 59 vs 76 / 136Avg sets wonper match1.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match30.235.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LofflerMaragioglio 7.50/Loffler 1.07
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.8%
Loffler · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Loffler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
L—F. Maragioglio—3J. Loffler—1
F. Maragioglio10
LApr 14 · 08:00F. Maragioglio9.0011211792K. Fadeev1.04611911113LApr 13 · 17:00F. Maragioglio4.33114831M. Neumaier1.2031111113LApr 13 · 14:00F. Maragioglio9.003670M. Hollo1.041111113LApr 13 · 10:30F. Maragioglio9.00791171G. Alcayde1.0411119113LApr 13 · 08:30F. Maragioglio2.103330P. Koloidenko1.671111113LApr 13 · 06:30F. Maragioglio4.00126561E. Huzsvar1.22101111113LDec 9 · 11:30F. Maragioglio—42180M. Stefanidis—1111203LDec 9 · 10:15D. Cheaib1.041111113F. Maragioglio9.006950WDec 9 · 07:30K. Walter1.409880F. Maragioglio2.751111113LDec 8 · 17:30D. Cheaib1.031111113F. Maragioglio10.006630
J. Loffler10
LAug 4 · 07:30M. Nogami7.2581111113J. Loffler1.05116771LAug 3 · 17:30J. Loffler—118621M. Neumaier—91111113WAug 3 · 16:00J. Willeke—631291J. Loffler—111110113WAug 3 · 14:00K. Zimmermann2.6012118141J. Loffler1.4214211163WAug 3 · 12:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Hubner—5860LAug 3 · 09:30J. Loffler2.357380A. Mino1.501111113WAug 3 · 08:00J. Loffler1.27811911113L. Kraus3.2511311692LJul 28 · 11:00O. Kosolosky1.221111113J. Loffler3.804620WJul 28 · 09:45J. Loffler1.321111113K. Zimmermann3.006770WJul 28 · 07:30N. Kizakisz6.256640J. Loffler1.081111113
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