TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vadim Komar vs Dmytro Yurkov 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118911118511911
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:24 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVadim Komar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Vadim Komar @ 1.80 · Lost
How it is goingVadim Komar above · Dmytro Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 94 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Vadim Komar at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Komar 104–87 Dmytro Yurkov Dmytro Yurkov has won 87 of their 191 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 05:2454.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Komar
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
104-87 in 191
Komar
Wrong
gap of 17 in 191, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komar 1846 vs Yurkov 1803
Komar
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komar 60% vs Yurkov 0%
Komar
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komar 60% vs Yurkov 10%
Komar
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Komar -1 · Yurkov -8
Yurkov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Komar) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomar 1.80 / Yurkov 1.909
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Komar)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234735
Komar1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 39 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it74% 28 of 38
Yurkov1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 49 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back12% 12 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomar8wins
AwayYurkov2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKomar leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomar100%7 of 7
AwayYurkov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komar7Yurkov3n = 10Komar took 7 of 10
S2Komar9Yurkov1n = 10Komar took 9 of 10
S3Komar5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S4Komar3Yurkov4n = 7Yurkov took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomarYurkovK − YBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.333.5+5.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomarYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 597 vs 381 / 90338.4%42.2%229 / 597 vs 381 / 903Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.234.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KomarKomar 1.80/Yurkov 1.91
Miss
What we said
54%
Komar · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Vadim Komar @ 1.80 · Lost
What happened
2–3
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 27 · 17:29V. Komar331111113D. Yurkov269980
WJun 27 · 15:00V. Komar531112910113D. Yurkov45510111272
WJun 21 · 16:00V. Komar351113113D. Yurkov2351170
WJun 19 · 14:00V. Komar4111118113D. Yurkov27391141
WJun 17 · 14:00V. Komar331111113D. Yurkov196490
LJun 13 · 07:00V. Komar357711101D. Yurkov4211118123
WJun 6 · 07:00V. Komar4061112113D. Yurkov351171071
WJun 5 · 15:30V. Komar51121297113D. Yurkov501010111182
WJun 1 · 12:00V. Komar4211119113D. Yurkov28861131
LMay 24 · 07:30V. Komar30811741D. Yurkov4011711113
V. Komar10
LOct 3 · 07:00R. Horokh1.401113123V. Komar2.75711100LOct 3 · 05:30V. Komar2.38118691D. Kryshtal1.5381111113WSep 30 · 10:38R. Horokh1.40611119122V. Komar2.75114411143WSep 30 · 09:30V. Komar2.501151112113D. Kryshtal1.5051191472LSep 30 · 08:30V. Komar2.63119156102I. Shyndel1.443111311123WSep 30 · 07:00V. Komar1.3311911113S. Kiilo3.25511731WSep 30 · 06:00V. Komar2.501111113R. Horokh1.504850WSep 26 · 10:28I. Shyndel1.408340V. Komar2.751111113WSep 26 · 09:30V. Komar1.40111011113S. Bului2.75412771LSep 26 · 08:30V. Komar2.757111151I. Shyndel1.4011913113
D. Yurkov10
WOct 3 · 07:30D. Kryshtal1.61911101292D. Yurkov2.201161210113LOct 3 · 05:00R. Horokh1.5311911113D. Yurkov2.38811491LSep 21 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.20119119113D. Yurkov1.6191131172LSep 21 · 14:30D. Yurkov8.501197111S. Ponomarenko1.0571111133LSep 21 · 13:30R. Horokh1.611111113D. Yurkov2.208970LSep 21 · 12:30D. Yurkov2.381112121542S. Balabei1.537141413113LAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113LAug 31 · 15:00S. Balabei1.441211113D. Yurkov2.6310670LAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460WAug 31 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101171192D. Yurkov1.61129119113
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