Oleksandr Sydorchuk vs Andrii Kotiash 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 2Finished

Oleksandr Sydorchuk

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

13111412151713151517

Andrii Kotiash

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:04 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Oleksandr Sydorchuk to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Andrii Kotiash below

Set 1 · 13-11

Set 2 · 14-12

Set 3 · 15-17

Set 4 · 13-15

Set 5 · 15-17

Point 142 set 5, 15-17 · our read held Oleksandr Sydorchuk at 54.0%

142 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:04

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Sydorchuk

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Sydorchuk 1458 vs Kotiash 1416

Sydorchuk

Wrong

both rated, 42 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Sydorchuk 40% vs Kotiash 20%

Sydorchuk

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Sydorchuk 40% vs Kotiash 20%

Sydorchuk

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Sydorchuk +1 · Kotiash -3

Kotiash

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Sydorchuk) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kotiash form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSydorchuk 1.80 / Kotiash 1.909

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Sydorchuk)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Setka Cup · #13228993

Sydorchuk1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 27)

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite63% won 65 of 103

Up 2–0, closes it87% 33 of 38

Up 1–0, closes it80% 45 of 56

Kotiash1.91

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog37% won 47 of 127

Down 0–1, comes back24% 19 of 79

Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 50

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricSydorchukKotiashBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 317 vs 214 / 45852.4%46.7%166 / 317 vs 214 / 458Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Sydorchuk

Sydorchuk 1.80/Kotiash 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Kotiash won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

O. Sydorchuk10