TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Sydorchuk vs Serhii Prus 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10127111412711––
Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 14
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Prus to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Serhii Prus below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 84 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Serhii Prus at 59.3%
84 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Sydorchuk 5–15 Serhii Prus Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 5 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:11What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Prus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-15 in 20
Prus
Correct
gap of 10 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 1453 vs Prus 1374
Sydorchuk
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 20% vs Prus 0%
Sydorchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 30% vs Prus 0%
Sydorchuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -1 · Prus -14
Prus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Prus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prus form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.20 / Prus 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Prus)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13202074
Sydorchuk2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 37 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Prus1.61
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 14
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite64% won 36 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorchuk4wins
AwayPrus6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPrus leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk66.7%2 of 3
AwayPrus71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk3Prus7n = 10Prus took 7 of 10
S2Sydorchuk6Prus4n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S3Sydorchuk5Prus5n = 10split evenly
S4Sydorchuk4Prus3n = 7Sydorchuk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorchukPrusS − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.336.3−1.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukPrusBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 315 vs 196 / 42352.4%46.3%165 / 315 vs 196 / 423Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrusSydorchuk 2.20/Prus 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Prus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Prus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 20 · 08:55O. Sydorchuk182880S. Prus331111113
LSep 19 · 00:45O. Sydorchuk27101070S. Prus351212113
WSep 10 · 22:45O. Sydorchuk44101111123S. Prus401299101
LSep 6 · 04:55O. Sydorchuk4491111852S. Prus46117611113
LSep 5 · 16:25O. Sydorchuk176740S. Prus331111113
WSep 4 · 23:15O. Sydorchuk4211911113S. Prus28511751
WAug 1 · 02:15O. Sydorchuk4291111113S. Prus27115651
WJul 19 · 10:55O. Sydorchuk3711114113S. Prus35971181
LJul 18 · 16:25O. Sydorchuk4791511392S. Prus501113411113
O. Sydorchuk10
WSep 27 · 10:25O. Sydorchuk2.631111113O. Gazhula1.448780LSep 27 · 07:25O. Sydorchuk2.00861141D. Palii1.7311114113WSep 27 · 05:55O. Sydorchuk1.571111113I. Kvak2.259990LSep 27 · 04:25O. Sydorchuk2.6375110M. Slozka1.441111133LSep 20 · 10:55O. Sydorchuk2.508840M. Slozka1.501111113LSep 20 · 08:55S. Prus1.731111113O. Sydorchuk2.002880WSep 20 · 07:55O. Sydorchuk1.7361111113I. Kvak2.00113651WSep 20 · 06:55D. Palii1.67111270O. Sydorchuk2.101314113LSep 20 · 05:25O. Sydorchuk2.63117611102T. Gil1.44911119123LSep 19 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.50116661M. Slozka1.5061111113
S. Prus10
LSep 27 · 07:55S. Prus2.00118851I. Kvak1.7391111113LSep 27 · 06:55O. Gazhula1.3011911113S. Prus3.40611991LSep 27 · 05:25S. Prus2.63981271D. Palii1.44111110113LSep 26 · 16:25S. Prus2.509610O. Gazhula1.501111113LSep 26 · 15:25S. Prus2.501041121D. Palii1.5012113113LSep 26 · 13:55S. Prus1.737650I. Kvak2.001111103LSep 26 · 12:55S. Prus2.385550M. Slozka1.531111103LSep 26 · 11:55S. Prus2.25351171I. Fashchevskyi1.5711118113LSep 26 · 02:15S. Prus1.912970V. Korobko1.801111113WSep 20 · 08:55S. Prus1.731111113O. Sydorchuk2.002880
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