TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Sydorchuk vs Ihor Kvak 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119119––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Sydorchuk to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Ihor Kvak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Sydorchuk at 58.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Sydorchuk 4–3 Ihor Kvak Ihor Kvak has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sydorchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 1462 vs Kvak 1393
Sydorchuk
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Kvak 20%
Sydorchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Kvak 20%
Sydorchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -3 · Kvak -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sydorchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kvak form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 1.57 / Kvak 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Sydorchuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13202198
Sydorchuk1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 65 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it80% 45 of 56
Kvak2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 10 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSydorchuk4wins
AwayKvak3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderSydorchuk leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk100%3 of 3
AwayKvak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk3Kvak4n = 7Kvak took 4 of 7
S2Sydorchuk6Kvak1n = 7Sydorchuk took 6 of 7
S3Sydorchuk5Kvak2n = 7Sydorchuk took 5 of 7
S4Sydorchuk2Kvak3n = 5Kvak took 3 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricSydorchukKvakS − KBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match35.230.3+4.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukKvakBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 314 vs 36 / 7552.6%48%165 / 314 vs 36 / 75Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.234.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorchukSydorchuk 1.57/Kvak 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 27 · 05:55O. Sydorchuk331111113I. Kvak279990
WSep 20 · 07:55O. Sydorchuk3961111113I. Kvak25113651
WSep 19 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk4211118123I. Kvak294411101
WJul 12 · 04:25O. Sydorchuk331111113I. Kvak199550
LJul 11 · 13:55O. Sydorchuk31471191I. Kvak4211119113
LJun 27 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk336115111I. Kvak4011511133
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 27 · 04:25O. Sydorchuk2.6375110M. Slozka1.441111133LSep 20 · 10:55O. Sydorchuk2.508840M. Slozka1.501111113LSep 20 · 08:55S. Prus1.731111113O. Sydorchuk2.002880WSep 20 · 07:55O. Sydorchuk1.7361111113I. Kvak2.00113651WSep 20 · 06:55D. Palii1.67111270O. Sydorchuk2.101314113LSep 20 · 05:25O. Sydorchuk2.63117611102T. Gil1.44911119123LSep 19 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.50116661M. Slozka1.5061111113LSep 19 · 16:25S. Prus1.7369121193O. Sydorchuk2.00111110582WSep 19 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk3.00511113113T. Gil1.3611711132WSep 19 · 14:25D. Palii1.611286101O. Sydorchuk2.20101111102
I. Kvak10
LSep 27 · 04:55O. Gazhula1.361111113I. Kvak3.008980LSep 26 · 15:55I. Kvak1.7311771152M. Slozka2.00311115113LSep 26 · 14:55O. Gazhula1.531111123I. Kvak2.3839100WSep 26 · 13:55S. Prus1.737650I. Kvak2.001111103LSep 26 · 12:25D. Palii1.671111113I. Kvak2.105630LSep 20 · 11:25T. Gil1.253111112123I. Kvak3.751113810102WSep 20 · 09:55I. Kvak1.675111112113M. Slozka2.10119131092LSep 20 · 07:55O. Sydorchuk1.7361111113I. Kvak2.00113651LSep 20 · 05:55S. Prus1.80611611113I. Kvak1.9111711672LSep 20 · 04:55D. Palii1.9111127113I. Kvak1.807101161
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