TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Frantisek Schmidtmayer vs Tomas Stejskal 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115116––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:37 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Schmidtmayer to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Schmidtmayer above · Tomas Stejskal below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Frantisek Schmidtmayer at 65.3%
51 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Schmidtmayer 3–1 Tomas Stejskal Tomas Stejskal has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Schmidtmayer
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Schmidtmayer
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schmidtmayer 1418 vs Stejskal 1406
Schmidtmayer
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schmidtmayer 60% vs Stejskal 40%
Schmidtmayer
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schmidtmayer 60% vs Stejskal 20%
Schmidtmayer
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schmidtmayer +2 · Stejskal +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Schmidtmayer) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchmidtmayer 1.44 / Stejskal 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Schmidtmayer)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13191265
Schmidtmayer1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 64 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it72% 46 of 64
Stejskal2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 14 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSchmidtmayer3wins
AwayStejskal1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSchmidtmayer leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schmidtmayer2Stejskal2n = 4split evenly
S2Schmidtmayer3Stejskal1n = 4Schmidtmayer took 3 of 4
S3Schmidtmayer3Stejskal1n = 4Schmidtmayer took 3 of 4
S4Schmidtmayer3Stejskal0n = 3Schmidtmayer took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSchmidtmayerStejskalSchmidtmayer − StejskalBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match41.833.8+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchmidtmayerStejskalBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 440 vs 100 / 21646.6%46.3%205 / 440 vs 100 / 216Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchmidtmayerSchmidtmayer 1.44/Stejskal 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Schmidtmayer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Schmidtmayer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 10 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer43101111113T. Stejskal34129581
WJul 9 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer331111113T. Stejskal199640
LMar 24 · 16:00F. Schmidtmayer47961111102T. Stejskal45111183123
WFeb 20 · 16:00F. Schmidtmayer4412119123T. Stejskal3710611101
F. Schmidtmayer10
WSep 25 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.67111182K. Polak2.103780WSep 25 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.33119711113M. Melisek3.2571111862WSep 20 · 20:15L. Tuma2.10151211022F. Schmidtmayer1.6713101112113LSep 20 · 19:15F. Schmidtmayer1.91931271K. Farsky1.80111110113LSep 20 · 18:15F. Schmidtmayer1.6795111162L. Tuma2.10111193113WSep 20 · 17:15F. Schmidtmayer1.83111110113J. Hanacek1.83741281LSep 15 · 20:39J. Hanacek2.2081111113F. Schmidtmayer1.61115681WSep 15 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.8011119113J. Hanacek1.91891191LSep 15 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0081171172A. Dvoracek1.73118113113WSep 15 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.251111113M. Barton1.579660
T. Stejskal10
WSep 25 · 15:00T. Stejskal1.731311113M. Melisek2.0011480WSep 25 · 14:00T. Stejskal1.91811611113K. Polak1.8011811472LSep 15 · 16:33T. Stejskal1.807690P. Abraham1.911111113LSep 15 · 16:00M. Soukup1.67111011113T. Stejskal2.10712791LSep 15 · 15:00L. Tuma1.531111113T. Stejskal2.388960LSep 15 · 13:30P. Abraham2.0071311133T. Stejskal1.7311119111LSep 10 · 20:58J. Pina1.61511117113T. Stejskal2.2011751162LSep 10 · 20:00T. Stejskal1.57561141J. Pina2.2511118113LSep 10 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer1.67101111113T. Stejskal2.10129581LSep 10 · 18:00M. Drabek3.0021311113T. Stejskal1.361111941
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