TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Flicek vs Ondrej Kadavy 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Tomas Flicek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116118611111311
Ondrej Kadavy
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:42 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kadavy to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Flicek above · Ondrej Kadavy below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 1-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 79 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Ondrej Kadavy at 63.6%
79 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Flicek 1–3 Ondrej Kadavy Tomas Flicek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kadavy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kadavy
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Flicek 1610 vs Kadavy 1731
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Flicek 40% vs Kadavy 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Flicek 20% vs Kadavy 40%
Kadavy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Flicek +1 · Kadavy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kadavy) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kadavy form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFlicek 1.83 / Kadavy 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kadavy)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13188141
Flicek1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kadavy1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeFlicek1wins
AwayKadavy3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderKadavy leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFlicekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKadavy75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Flicek0Kadavy4n = 4Kadavy took 4 of 4
S2Flicek3Kadavy1n = 4Flicek took 3 of 4
S3Flicek2Kadavy2n = 4split evenly
S4Flicek1Kadavy3n = 4Kadavy took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricFlicekKadavyF − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match38.044.2−6.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFlicekKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 133 vs 183 / 31746.6%57.7%62 / 133 vs 183 / 317Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyFlicek 1.83/Kadavy 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 15 · 15:25T. Flicek348111051O. Kadavy4311912113
LAug 19 · 15:25T. Flicek3464111122O. Kadavy42111145113
LDec 18 · 18:55T. Flicek35712971O. Kadavy43111011113
WDec 18 · 17:55T. Flicek49713117113O. Kadavy49111181182
T. Flicek10
WSep 24 · 15:55M. Cerny1.731116671T. Flicek2.0061811113LSep 24 · 15:25D. Bochnak1.73611126113T. Flicek2.00117101152WSep 15 · 17:54F. Strejc1.80101170T. Flicek1.911213113LSep 15 · 17:25T. Flicek1.83771141F. Strejc1.8311113113LSep 15 · 15:55L. Soucek1.911114113T. Flicek1.8041280LSep 15 · 15:25O. Kadavy1.5311912113T. Flicek2.388111051LSep 7 · 17:53V. Benak1.83961211133T. Flicek1.831111105112LSep 7 · 16:55V. Benak1.80111411123T. Flicek1.917165101LSep 7 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731411113T. Flicek2.0012780LSep 7 · 15:25T. Flicek2.0017111172D. Jicha1.73111169113
O. Kadavy10
LSep 24 · 14:55M. Cerny3.5011911123O. Kadavy1.285115101WSep 21 · 21:58M. Stusek1.7341171142O. Kadavy2.00113115113LSep 21 · 20:55M. Stusek1.83711811153O. Kadavy1.83117118132LSep 21 · 20:25T. Vorisek1.67101111113O. Kadavy2.10128891LSep 21 · 19:25O. Kadavy3.258511101J. Zlamal1.3311113123WSep 17 · 18:05O. Kadavy1.331113113M. Cerny3.2551170LSep 17 · 16:55O. Kadavy1.61612100J. Zacharda2.201114123LSep 17 · 15:55O. Kadavy1.619370D. Bochnak2.201111113WSep 17 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.441111113M. Cerny2.633420WSep 15 · 15:25O. Kadavy1.5311912113T. Flicek2.388111051
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