TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Skotniczny vs Boguslaw Madej 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Rafal Skotniczny
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181161113118––
Boguslaw Madej
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1181161113118––
H2H Rafal Skotniczny 14–10 Boguslaw Madej Boguslaw Madej has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Skotniczny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madej form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotniczny 1.22 / Madej 4.00
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Skotniczny)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13182651
Skotniczny1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 203 of 322
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it81% 153 of 189
Madej4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 47 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkotniczny6wins
AwayMadej4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSkotniczny leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotniczny85.7%6 of 7
AwayMadej100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotniczny7Madej3n = 10Skotniczny took 7 of 10
S2Skotniczny6Madej4n = 10Skotniczny took 6 of 10
S3Skotniczny7Madej3n = 10Skotniczny took 7 of 10
S4Skotniczny4Madej2n = 6Skotniczny took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkotnicznyMadejS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.232.5+7.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicznyMadejBasisWin rate · lifetime613 / 1045 vs 142 / 38858.7%36.6%613 / 1045 vs 142 / 388Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznySkotniczny 1.22/Madej 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.8%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skotniczny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 15:05R. Skotniczny341111123B. Madej2385100
LAug 18 · 07:30R. Skotniczny4899111182B. Madej47111186113
WMay 26 · 12:45R. Skotniczny341211113B. Madej1610330
LMay 26 · 10:20R. Skotniczny43111011111B. Madej4571213133
LMay 19 · 12:45R. Skotniczny52991111122B. Madej46111128143
WMay 19 · 10:20R. Skotniczny331111113B. Madej188370
LApr 28 · 12:45R. Skotniczny41101110101B. Madej4312712123
WApr 28 · 10:20R. Skotniczny341211113B. Madej2210480
WMar 31 · 15:05R. Skotniczny3811115113B. Madej31781151
WMar 31 · 09:05R. Skotniczny45111013113B. Madej345121161
R. Skotniczny10
WSep 23 · 07:55R. Skotniczny1.5211911113M. Baron2.37911771WSep 23 · 06:45R. Gajda2.62114101152R. Skotniczny1.44711128113WSep 23 · 05:55R. Skotniczny1.6511711113O. Vincenec2.10611831WSep 21 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.451114113W. Tobiasz2.5541230WSep 21 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.83811281R. Skotniczny1.8611311113LSep 21 · 14:20P. Ostachowski4.991611511123R. Skotniczny1.141491113102LSep 21 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.4571250J. Kaczmarek2.551114113WSep 21 · 12:20R. Skotniczny1.9181914113O. Jadach1.8011171231LSep 21 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.6041180W. Tobiasz2.151113113LSep 21 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.83111411113R. Skotniczny1.86916631
B. Madej10
LSep 23 · 08:20R. Gajda1.50111110113B. Madej2.35771291LSep 23 · 07:30B. Madej2.45911311102O. Vincenec1.49117116123WSep 23 · 06:20B. Madej1.6617911113M. Rus2.101511791WSep 16 · 16:40B. Madej2.20712167123M. Sikon1.5711101411102LSep 16 · 15:05J. Pelka1.391111113B. Madej2.658780WSep 16 · 14:20M. Rus1.9911129752B. Madej1.678101111113LSep 16 · 13:30B. Madej3.2510550K. Hetnar1.271211113WSep 16 · 12:20B. Madej3.104111111113P. Kurek1.2911913972WSep 16 · 10:40B. Madej2.25111157113M. Sikon1.5884111112WSep 16 · 09:05J. Pelka1.399118121B. Madej2.6511411143
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