TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Piotr Ostachowski
Home
4.99
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
161411951111131210
Rafal Skotniczny
Away
1.14
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
112 points played in total.
Set by set
161411951111131210
H2H Piotr Ostachowski 0–1 Rafal Skotniczny Piotr Ostachowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Skotniczny beat Ostachowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Skotniczny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skotniczny form (40%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOstachowski 4.99 / Skotniczny 1.14
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Skotniczny)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13170172
Ostachowski4.99
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog6% won 2 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Skotniczny1.14
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 201 of 316
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it81% 151 of 187
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOstachowski0wins
AwaySkotniczny1wins
Skotniczny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricOstachowskiSkotnicznyO − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match26.034.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOstachowskiSkotnicznyBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 43 vs 609 / 105318.6%57.8%8 / 43 vs 609 / 1053Avg sets wonper match1.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match29.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznyOstachowski 4.99/Skotniczny 1.14
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
81.4%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ostachowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 21 · 06:20P. Ostachowski2610970R. Skotniczny341211113
P. Ostachowski10
WSep 21 · 15:30P. Ostachowski5.0611711113O. Jadach1.13511951WSep 21 · 12:45P. Ostachowski—149911113G. Wichowski—121111682WSep 21 · 11:30P. Ostachowski1.7111611113W. Tobiasz2.00811651WSep 21 · 10:20G. Wichowski1.29116681P. Ostachowski3.3291111113WSep 21 · 09:30O. Jadach—9980P. Ostachowski—1111113WSep 21 · 08:45P. Ostachowski—1111113J. Kaczmarek—9650WSep 21 · 06:20P. Ostachowski—101111113W. Tobiasz—128661LSep 21 · 06:20R. Skotniczny—1211113P. Ostachowski—10970LSep 16 · 24:10P. Ostachowski4.451188121K. Golaszewski1.1481111143LSep 15 · 23:20P. Ostachowski4.1511611732J. Rolak1.18911911113
R. Skotniczny10
WSep 21 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.83811281R. Skotniczny1.8611311113LSep 21 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.4571250J. Kaczmarek2.551114113WSep 21 · 12:20R. Skotniczny1.9181914113O. Jadach1.8011171231LSep 21 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.6041180W. Tobiasz2.151113113LSep 21 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.83111411113R. Skotniczny1.86916631WSep 21 · 08:20O. Jadach1.91612851R. Skotniczny1.80111011113LSep 21 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.369121291J. Kaczmarek2.85111014113WSep 21 · 06:20R. Skotniczny—1211113P. Ostachowski—10970WSep 18 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.401111113W. Tobiasz2.705980WSep 18 · 15:05P. Slosarczyk2.40119841R. Skotniczny1.4771111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Ostachowski
Nothing scheduled
R. Skotniczny
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