TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Grzegorz Wichowski
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811113211811––
Rafal Skotniczny
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Wichowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
811113211811––
H2H Grzegorz Wichowski 46–54 Rafal Skotniczny Grzegorz Wichowski has won 46 of their 100 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Wichowski beat Skotniczny 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:58What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Wichowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-54 in 100
Skotniczny
Correct
gap of 8 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wichowski 1401 vs Skotniczny 1436
Skotniczny
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wichowski 40% vs Skotniczny 20%
Wichowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wichowski 40% vs Skotniczny 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wichowski -2 · Skotniczny -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skotniczny) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skotniczny form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWichowski 1.83 / Skotniczny 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skotniczny)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13167735
Wichowski1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 238 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it98% 117 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it82% 178 of 216
Skotniczny1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog52% won 65 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back29% 19 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWichowski5wins
AwaySkotniczny5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWichowski66.7%2 of 3
AwaySkotniczny57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wichowski3Skotniczny7n = 10Skotniczny took 7 of 10
S2Wichowski5Skotniczny5n = 10split evenly
S3Wichowski6Skotniczny4n = 10Wichowski took 6 of 10
S4Wichowski5Skotniczny2n = 7Wichowski took 5 of 7
S5Wichowski1Skotniczny2n = 3Skotniczny took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWichowskiSkotnicznyW − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.639.2−0.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWichowskiSkotnicznyBasisWin rate · lifetime572 / 934 vs 609 / 105461.2%57.8%572 / 934 vs 609 / 1054Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznyWichowski 1.83/Skotniczny 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skotniczny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 09:05G. Wichowski47111411113R. Skotniczny34916631
WSep 18 · 14:20G. Wichowski44111111113R. Skotniczny30134761
LSep 18 · 06:20G. Wichowski377111091R. Skotniczny4111712113
WSep 11 · 11:30G. Wichowski51912127113R. Skotniczny501110101182
LSep 11 · 07:10G. Wichowski197660R. Skotniczny331111113
LSep 7 · 12:20G. Wichowski162860R. Skotniczny331111113
WSep 7 · 08:20G. Wichowski44111111113R. Skotniczny39139981
WAug 3 · 12:20G. Wichowski381212143R. Skotniczny321010120
LAug 3 · 08:20G. Wichowski4411861362R. Skotniczny506111111113
LJul 17 · 12:20G. Wichowski4676111572R. Skotniczny501111413113
G. Wichowski10
LSep 21 · 13:55G. Wichowski1.36811101172W. Tobiasz2.90119127113LSep 21 · 12:45P. Ostachowski—149911113G. Wichowski—121111682WSep 21 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.36611511113J. Kaczmarek2.9011811372LSep 21 · 10:20G. Wichowski1.29116681P. Ostachowski3.3291111113WSep 21 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.83111411113R. Skotniczny1.86916631WSep 21 · 07:55G. Wichowski1.3311117123W. Tobiasz2.959911101LSep 21 · 06:45O. Jadach1.831511113G. Wichowski1.8313980LSep 21 · 05:55G. Wichowski1.29511761J. Kaczmarek2.8511511113WSep 18 · 17:05G. Wichowski1.65115612113M. Paszkiewicz2.10811111062LSep 18 · 15:30G. Wichowski1.90128471O. Jadach1.80101111113
R. Skotniczny10
LSep 21 · 14:20P. Ostachowski4.991611511123R. Skotniczny1.141491113102LSep 21 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.4571250J. Kaczmarek2.551114113WSep 21 · 12:20R. Skotniczny1.9181914113O. Jadach1.8011171231LSep 21 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.6041180W. Tobiasz2.151113113LSep 21 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.83111411113R. Skotniczny1.86916631WSep 21 · 08:20O. Jadach1.91612851R. Skotniczny1.80111011113LSep 21 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.369121291J. Kaczmarek2.85111014113WSep 21 · 06:20R. Skotniczny—1211113P. Ostachowski—10970WSep 18 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.401111113W. Tobiasz2.705980WSep 18 · 15:05P. Slosarczyk2.40119841R. Skotniczny1.4771111113
Upcoming Matches
G. Wichowski
R. Skotniczny
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.