TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Grzegorz Wichowski
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111191012117711
Wojciech Tobiasz
Away
2.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:25 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Wichowski to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
8111191012117711
H2H Grzegorz Wichowski 95–27 Wojciech Tobiasz Wojciech Tobiasz has won 27 of their 122 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Wichowski beat Tobiasz 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Wichowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
95-27 in 122
Wichowski
Wrong
gap of 68 in 122, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wichowski 1417 vs Tobiasz 1261
Wichowski
Wrong
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wichowski 60% vs Tobiasz 20%
Wichowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wichowski 50% vs Tobiasz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wichowski -1 · Tobiasz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Wichowski) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tobiasz form (20%) is below what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWichowski 1.36 / Tobiasz 2.90
Signal prob.73% / 28%
Edge (Wichowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13167673
Wichowski1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 238 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it98% 117 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it82% 178 of 216
Tobiasz2.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 78 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWichowski9wins
AwayTobiasz1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWichowski leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWichowski100%7 of 7
AwayTobiasz33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wichowski7Tobiasz3n = 10Wichowski took 7 of 10
S2Wichowski8Tobiasz2n = 10Wichowski took 8 of 10
S3Wichowski7Tobiasz3n = 10Wichowski took 7 of 10
S4Wichowski5Tobiasz1n = 6Wichowski took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWichowskiTobiaszW − TBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.031.3+7.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWichowskiTobiaszBasisWin rate · lifetime572 / 933 vs 320 / 70161.3%45.7%572 / 933 vs 320 / 701Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WichowskiWichowski 1.36/Tobiasz 2.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.5%
Wichowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tobiasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 07:55G. Wichowski4111117123W. Tobiasz399911101
WSep 18 · 11:30G. Wichowski49491111143W. Tobiasz51111198122
WSep 18 · 07:10G. Wichowski331111113W. Tobiasz198560
WSep 14 · 15:30G. Wichowski44111111113W. Tobiasz23113541
LSep 14 · 09:30G. Wichowski3971210101W. Tobiasz45111012123
WSep 7 · 13:10G. Wichowski371511113W. Tobiasz3113990
WSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski4013115113W. Tobiasz311171121
WSep 4 · 15:05G. Wichowski3521111113W. Tobiasz25113741
WSep 4 · 09:05G. Wichowski361111143W. Tobiasz2585120
WAug 21 · 13:30G. Wichowski361111143W. Tobiasz2484120
G. Wichowski10
LSep 21 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.83811281R. Skotniczny1.8611311113LSep 21 · 12:45P. Ostachowski—149911113G. Wichowski—121111682WSep 21 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.36611511113J. Kaczmarek2.9011811372LSep 21 · 10:20G. Wichowski1.29116681P. Ostachowski3.3291111113WSep 21 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.83111411113R. Skotniczny1.86916631WSep 21 · 07:55G. Wichowski1.3311117123W. Tobiasz2.959911101LSep 21 · 06:45O. Jadach1.831511113G. Wichowski1.8313980LSep 21 · 05:55G. Wichowski1.29511761J. Kaczmarek2.8511511113WSep 18 · 17:05G. Wichowski1.65115612113M. Paszkiewicz2.10811111062LSep 18 · 15:30G. Wichowski1.90128471O. Jadach1.80101111113
W. Tobiasz10
LSep 21 · 13:10O. Jadach1.371511411143W. Tobiasz2.90176118122LSep 21 · 11:30P. Ostachowski1.7111611113W. Tobiasz2.00811651WSep 21 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.6041180W. Tobiasz2.151113113LSep 21 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek1.861111411113W. Tobiasz1.8313511872LSep 21 · 07:55G. Wichowski1.3311117123W. Tobiasz2.959911101LSep 21 · 06:20P. Ostachowski—101111113W. Tobiasz—128661WSep 21 · 05:30O. Jadach1.35891191W. Tobiasz2.9511116113LSep 18 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.401111113W. Tobiasz2.705980WSep 18 · 15:55M. Paszkiewicz1.6811811462W. Tobiasz2.05811311113WSep 18 · 13:55P. Slosarczyk1.95912951W. Tobiasz1.76111011113
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