TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Skotniczny vs Oliver Vincenec 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Rafal Skotniczny
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116711118113––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Skotniczny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
116711118113––
H2H Rafal Skotniczny 10–9 Oliver Vincenec Oliver Vincenec has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:43What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Skotniczny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-9 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skotniczny 1455 vs Vincenec 1363
Skotniczny
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skotniczny 60% vs Vincenec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skotniczny 50% vs Vincenec 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skotniczny +2 · Vincenec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Skotniczny) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotniczny 1.65 / Vincenec 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Skotniczny)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13178518
Skotniczny1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 203 of 322
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it81% 153 of 189
Vincenec2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 195 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back25% 69 of 278
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 138
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkotniczny6wins
AwayVincenec4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSkotniczny leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotniczny100%4 of 4
AwayVincenec66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotniczny4Vincenec6n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S2Skotniczny6Vincenec4n = 10Skotniczny took 6 of 10
S3Skotniczny5Vincenec5n = 10split evenly
S4Skotniczny4Vincenec3n = 7Skotniczny took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkotnicznyVincenecS − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.532.6+3.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicznyVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime610 / 1046 vs 681 / 148858.3%45.8%610 / 1046 vs 681 / 1488Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznySkotniczny 1.65/Vincenec 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skotniczny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 06:25R. Skotniczny2073100O. Vincenec341111123
WJul 17 · 13:30R. Skotniczny44111111113O. Vincenec28551351
WJul 17 · 07:30R. Skotniczny331111113O. Vincenec166550
LJul 2 · 08:00R. Skotniczny36911881O. Vincenec3711411113
LJun 29 · 14:20R. Skotniczny229850O. Vincenec331111113
WJun 29 · 06:20R. Skotniczny4211119113O. Vincenec28841151
WJun 24 · 16:40R. Skotniczny4211911113O. Vincenec30911461
WJun 24 · 10:40R. Skotniczny4181111113O. Vincenec37118991
LJun 23 · 16:40R. Skotniczny33771181O. Vincenec3911116113
WJun 23 · 10:40R. Skotniczny521011119113O. Vincenec4412791152
R. Skotniczny10
WSep 21 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.451114113W. Tobiasz2.5541230WSep 21 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.83811281R. Skotniczny1.8611311113LSep 21 · 14:20P. Ostachowski4.991611511123R. Skotniczny1.141491113102LSep 21 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.4571250J. Kaczmarek2.551114113WSep 21 · 12:20R. Skotniczny1.9181914113O. Jadach1.8011171231LSep 21 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.6041180W. Tobiasz2.151113113LSep 21 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.83111411113R. Skotniczny1.86916631WSep 21 · 08:20O. Jadach1.91612851R. Skotniczny1.80111011113LSep 21 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.369121291J. Kaczmarek2.85111014113WSep 21 · 06:20R. Skotniczny—1211113P. Ostachowski—10970
O. Vincenec10
LSep 22 · 16:40W. Buczynski1.861111113O. Vincenec1.839880WSep 22 · 15:55K. Jablonski1.75116871O. Vincenec1.9541111113WSep 22 · 13:55J. Pelka1.76913451O. Vincenec1.90111111113WSep 22 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.35711101182O. Vincenec2.90119128113LSep 22 · 11:30J. Pruszkowski1.501111109113O. Vincenec2.5039121192WSep 22 · 10:40W. Buczynski1.91911731O. Vincenec1.7811611113LSep 22 · 09:55K. Jablonski1.8611911113O. Vincenec1.83711391LSep 22 · 07:55J. Pelka1.711111113O. Vincenec2.007540WSep 22 · 07:10J. Pruszkowski1.80111151142O. Vincenec1.85136113113WSep 22 · 05:30K. Slawinski1.27111011882O. Vincenec2.95612811113
Upcoming Matches
R. Skotniczny
O. Vincenec
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.