TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jerzy Pelka vs Oliver Vincenec 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
1.71
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115114––––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
49 points played in total.
Set by set
117115114––––
H2H Jerzy Pelka 9–5 Oliver Vincenec Oliver Vincenec has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:25What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Pelka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Pelka
Correct
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1374 vs Vincenec 1376
Vincenec
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 20% vs Vincenec 60%
Vincenec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 50% vs Vincenec 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka -1 · Vincenec +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Pelka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelka form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 1.71 / Vincenec 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Pelka)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13175777
Pelka1.71
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 86 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it87% 39 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it65% 62 of 95
Vincenec2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 192 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back24% 67 of 279
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka6wins
AwayVincenec4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPelka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka66.7%4 of 6
AwayVincenec50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka6Vincenec4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S2Pelka5Vincenec5n = 10split evenly
S3Pelka6Vincenec4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S4Pelka5Vincenec4n = 9Pelka took 5 of 9
S5Pelka2Vincenec2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaVincenecP − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.641.1+1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime446 / 950 vs 677 / 148047%45.7%446 / 950 vs 677 / 1480Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaPelka 1.71/Vincenec 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Pelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 14:40J. Pelka50141411113O. Vincenec4512121381
WSep 18 · 06:05J. Pelka49115139113O. Vincenec50811111192
LAug 20 · 15:55J. Pelka531311127102O. Vincenec541561011123
WAug 20 · 09:55J. Pelka4011612113O. Vincenec323111081
WJul 24 · 17:05J. Pelka361211133O. Vincenec30109110
LJul 24 · 08:45J. Pelka29113871O. Vincenec4071111113
LJul 22 · 22:25J. Pelka371011881O. Vincenec3712311113
LJun 17 · 15:55J. Pelka4412961162O. Vincenec471011114113
WJun 17 · 09:55J. Pelka3961111113O. Vincenec33119941
WMar 5 · 16:05J. Pelka49791111113O. Vincenec4311115792
J. Pelka10
LSep 22 · 06:45K. Slawinski1.32811119113J. Pelka2.8511991182WSep 22 · 05:55J. Pelka1.901111113K. Jablonski1.804990LSep 21 · 15:30J. Pelka1.90991191P. Przewlocki1.7511112113LSep 21 · 14:20J. Pelka2.10991191P. Przewlocki1.6711112113LSep 21 · 12:40J. Pruszkowski1.5371111113J. Pelka2.38111771WSep 21 · 11:50M. Skuril2.108111061J. Pelka1.6711512113WSep 21 · 11:00J. Pelka1.8361P. Gumulinski1.8350LSep 21 · 09:50J. Pelka2.2013101181R. Idaczyk1.6115126113WSep 21 · 08:10J. Pelka1.7311911133P. Przewlocki2.003116111WSep 21 · 06:30J. Pruszkowski1.57391191J. Pelka2.2511119113
O. Vincenec10
WSep 22 · 07:10J. Pruszkowski1.80111151142O. Vincenec1.85136113113WSep 22 · 05:30K. Slawinski1.27111011882O. Vincenec2.95612811113LSep 21 · 05:05G. Marud1.571111113O. Vincenec2.031580WSep 21 · 03:55O. Vincenec2.151112113P. Kurek1.6371060LSep 21 · 02:45M. Baron1.881111123O. Vincenec1.6748100WSep 21 · 01:30W. Urban1.658112101O. Vincenec1.9111711123LSep 20 · 23:55P. Adamus1.611111115133O. Vincenec2.15139511112WSep 20 · 23:05M. Baron1.901281111132O. Vincenec1.801011213153LSep 20 · 21:55O. Vincenec1.901110111152P. Kurek1.75812139113WSep 20 · 20:45G. Marud1.661211781O. Vincenec2.05101311113
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