TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1139111161311––
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJerzy Pelka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJerzy Pelka above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 75 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Jerzy Pelka at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jerzy Pelka 6–4 Piotr Przewlocki Piotr Przewlocki has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pelka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Pelka
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1399 vs Przewlocki 1358
Pelka
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 60% vs Przewlocki 40%
Pelka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 70% vs Przewlocki 40%
Pelka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka +2 · Przewlocki -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pelka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 1.73 / Przewlocki 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pelka)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13164728
Pelka1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 84 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it87% 39 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it65% 60 of 93
Przewlocki2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 132 of 341
Down 0–1, comes back23% 48 of 207
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka6wins
AwayPrzewlocki4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPelka leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka60%3 of 5
AwayPrzewlocki40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S2Pelka5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S3Pelka6Przewlocki4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S4Pelka8Przewlocki2n = 10Pelka took 8 of 10
S5Pelka2Przewlocki4n = 6Przewlocki took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaPrzewlockiPelka − PrzewlockiBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match46.140.7+5.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime443 / 944 vs 518 / 108646.9%47.7%443 / 944 vs 518 / 1086Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaPelka 1.73/Przewlocki 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Pelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 30 · 16:40J. Pelka4511611982P. Przewlocki47511911113
WJul 30 · 10:40J. Pelka541091311113P. Przewlocki45121111742
WJun 18 · 15:55J. Pelka45121111113P. Przewlocki35146781
LJun 18 · 09:55J. Pelka507111011112P. Przewlocki50117127133
LSep 6 · 07:35J. Pelka4371161182P. Przewlocki43112118113
WAug 28 · 03:10J. Pelka4211911113P. Przewlocki30711931
WAug 12 · 15:05J. Pelka48711127113P. Przewlocki49119101182
LAug 12 · 09:05J. Pelka47111081172P. Przewlocki45712114113
WJun 22 · 22:00J. Pelka4411913113P. Przewlocki316111131
WJun 22 · 18:00J. Pelka43111110113P. Przewlocki32681261
J. Pelka10
WSep 21 · 06:30J. Pruszkowski1.57391191J. Pelka2.2511119113WSep 21 · 05:40R. Idaczyk1.83810190J. Pelka1.831112213LSep 21 · 04:55J. Pelka1.8311914462P. Gumulinski1.838111211113WSep 21 · 03:50J. Pelka1.9181111133M. Skuril1.801184111LSep 19 · 08:00J. Pelka1.65891141T. Lojtek2.1011119113WSep 19 · 06:45J. Pelka1.3014811113M. Cesarz3.251211481WSep 19 · 05:35J. Pelka1.5411911113J. Kaczmarek2.25611791WSep 19 · 04:25W. Urban1.83117991J. Pelka1.8381111113LSep 19 · 03:35J. Pelka1.90111111121W. Pytlas1.8013813143WSep 18 · 14:40J. Pelka2.00141411113O. Vincenec1.7312121381
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 21 · 09:00M. Skuril1.9069111162P. Przewlocki1.82111194113LSep 21 · 07:20P. Gumulinski1.61111118113P. Przewlocki2.208131671LSep 21 · 05:15J. Pruszkowski1.61117116113P. Przewlocki2.2091161172WSep 21 · 04:30M. Skuril1.806117111P. Przewlocki1.9111711133LSep 21 · 03:00R. Idaczyk1.83711125123P. Przewlocki1.831161011102WSep 16 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.20111213113W. Urban1.616141181WSep 16 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.28891114113I. Szymanski3.50111141292WSep 16 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.9111411113K. Adamus1.80911661LSep 16 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.80101150R. Gajda1.911213113LSep 16 · 09:00P. Przewlocki2.75771171P. Gumulinski1.4011118113
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