TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Rafal Idaczyk
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
81110121921––––
Jerzy Pelka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Idaczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRafal Idaczyk above · Jerzy Pelka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 19-21
Point 81 set 3, 19-21 — our read held Rafal Idaczyk at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Idaczyk 28–21 Jerzy Pelka Jerzy Pelka has won 21 of their 49 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:43What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Pelka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-21 in 49
Idaczyk
Wrong
gap of 7 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Idaczyk 1363 vs Pelka 1385
Pelka
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Idaczyk 60% vs Pelka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Idaczyk 70% vs Pelka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Idaczyk -1 · Pelka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Idaczyk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIdaczyk 1.83 / Pelka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Idaczyk)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13165412
Idaczyk1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Pelka1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIdaczyk5wins
AwayPelka5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIdaczyk71.4%5 of 7
AwayPelka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Idaczyk7Pelka3n = 10Idaczyk took 7 of 10
S2Idaczyk5Pelka5n = 10split evenly
S3Idaczyk4Pelka6n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S4Idaczyk4Pelka4n = 8split evenly
S5Idaczyk1Pelka2n = 3Pelka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIdaczykPelkaI − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.540.9−1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIdaczykPelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime471 / 944 vs 442 / 94349.9%46.9%471 / 944 vs 442 / 943Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IdaczykIdaczyk 1.83/Pelka 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Idaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 05:40R. Idaczyk37810190J. Pelka441112213
LAug 4 · 13:30R. Idaczyk42113117102J. Pelka49811711123
WAug 4 · 07:30R. Idaczyk44111111113J. Pelka38891381
WJun 18 · 07:10R. Idaczyk3611113113J. Pelka32891141
WJun 2 · 13:55R. Idaczyk46115118113J. Pelka4791181182
LJun 2 · 07:55R. Idaczyk409111281J. Pelka4511914113
WMay 22 · 05:55R. Idaczyk341111123J. Pelka2596100
LMay 5 · 12:45R. Idaczyk33761191J. Pelka3911116113
WMay 5 · 10:20R. Idaczyk4611176123J. Pelka4041511101
LApr 21 · 15:30R. Idaczyk3711561142J. Pelka50811119113
R. Idaczyk10
LSep 21 · 04:10R. Idaczyk3.001071181J. Pruszkowski1.3612116113WSep 21 · 03:00R. Idaczyk1.83711125123P. Przewlocki1.831161011102LSep 15 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.1514914113R. Idaczyk1.6012111291WSep 15 · 07:10W. Urban1.86961241R. Idaczyk1.83111110113WSep 15 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.61151311173J. Nowak2.1513155151WSep 15 · 04:50R. Idaczyk1.491113113J. Kaczmarek2.3431160WSep 15 · 04:00M. Cesarz3.303131121R. Idaczyk1.2611159113LSep 11 · 08:00R. Idaczyk2.353690M. Lebek1.501111113WSep 11 · 06:45R. Idaczyk1.90511118113M. Adamus1.8011981172WSep 11 · 05:35R. Idaczyk1.341111113R. Komandzik3.005660
J. Pelka10
WSep 21 · 06:30J. Pruszkowski1.57391191J. Pelka2.2511119113LSep 21 · 04:55J. Pelka1.8311914462P. Gumulinski1.838111211113WSep 21 · 03:50J. Pelka1.9181111133M. Skuril1.801184111LSep 19 · 08:00J. Pelka1.65891141T. Lojtek2.1011119113WSep 19 · 06:45J. Pelka1.3014811113M. Cesarz3.251211481WSep 19 · 05:35J. Pelka1.5411911113J. Kaczmarek2.25611791WSep 19 · 04:25W. Urban1.83117991J. Pelka1.8381111113LSep 19 · 03:35J. Pelka1.90111111121W. Pytlas1.8013813143WSep 18 · 14:40J. Pelka2.00141411113O. Vincenec1.7312121381LSep 18 · 13:05J. Pelka2.00146591L. Oracz1.73121111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Idaczyk
Sep 21 · 06:55R. Idaczyk1.91M. Skuril1.80—Sep 21 · 08:35R. Idaczyk2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 21 · 09:50R. Idaczyk1.61J. Pelka2.20—Sep 21 · 10:35R. Idaczyk2.00P. Przewlocki1.73—Sep 21 · 12:15R. Idaczyk2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 21 · 13:05R. Idaczyk1.53M. Skuril2.09—Sep 21 · 13:55R. Idaczyk2.75J. Pruszkowski1.40—
J. Pelka
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