TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Rafal Idaczyk
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012711116811––
Jakub Pruszkowski
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:22 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRafal Idaczyk above · Jakub Pruszkowski below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 70.4%
76 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Idaczyk 8–21 Jakub Pruszkowski Rafal Idaczyk has won 8 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:22What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-21 in 29
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 13 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Idaczyk 1378 vs Pruszkowski 1399
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Idaczyk 80% vs Pruszkowski 60%
Idaczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Idaczyk 70% vs Pruszkowski 30%
Idaczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Idaczyk +1 · Pruszkowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Pruszkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIdaczyk 3.00 / Pruszkowski 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13164701
Idaczyk3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 98 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back16% 25 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 107
Pruszkowski1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 451 of 695
Up 2–0, closes it95% 229 of 241
Up 1–0, closes it83% 347 of 420
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIdaczyk2wins
AwayPruszkowski8wins
Pruszkowski leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIdaczykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPruszkowski100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Idaczyk2Pruszkowski8n = 10Pruszkowski took 8 of 10
S2Idaczyk2Pruszkowski8n = 10Pruszkowski took 8 of 10
S3Idaczyk3Pruszkowski7n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S4Idaczyk1Pruszkowski2n = 3Pruszkowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricIdaczykPruszkowskiI − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match27.334.6−7.3per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIdaczykPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime471 / 944 vs 1133 / 179549.9%63.1%471 / 944 vs 1133 / 1795Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiIdaczyk 3.00/Pruszkowski 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 04:10R. Idaczyk361071181J. Pruszkowski4012116113
WAug 5 · 18:00R. Idaczyk3711114113J. Pruszkowski37991181
LJul 20 · 07:45R. Idaczyk146530J. Pruszkowski331111113
LJun 24 · 13:55R. Idaczyk2912980J. Pruszkowski361411113
LJan 21 · 12:55R. Idaczyk154560J. Pruszkowski331111113
WJan 21 · 06:55R. Idaczyk341112113J. Pruszkowski2271050
LNov 19 · 13:20R. Idaczyk2410860J. Pruszkowski341211113
LOct 21 · 06:25R. Idaczyk3013890J. Pruszkowski371511113
LOct 16 · 13:30R. Idaczyk2311750J. Pruszkowski351311113
LOct 16 · 07:30R. Idaczyk31961151J. Pruszkowski3911116113
R. Idaczyk10
WSep 21 · 03:00R. Idaczyk1.83711125123P. Przewlocki1.831161011102LSep 15 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.1514914113R. Idaczyk1.6012111291WSep 15 · 07:10W. Urban1.86961241R. Idaczyk1.83111110113WSep 15 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.61151311173J. Nowak2.1513155151WSep 15 · 04:50R. Idaczyk1.491113113J. Kaczmarek2.3431160WSep 15 · 04:00M. Cesarz3.303131121R. Idaczyk1.2611159113LSep 11 · 08:00R. Idaczyk2.353690M. Lebek1.501111113WSep 11 · 06:45R. Idaczyk1.90511118113M. Adamus1.8011981172WSep 11 · 05:35R. Idaczyk1.341111113R. Komandzik3.005660LSep 11 · 04:25Y. Fomin1.801311113R. Idaczyk1.8611850
J. Pruszkowski10
LSep 21 · 03:25J. Pruszkowski1.6711771182P. Gumulinski2.10911118113WSep 20 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski1.201281115113M. Skorski3.85101161772WSep 20 · 12:40M. Sinicki4.501012461J. Pruszkowski1.17121011113WSep 20 · 11:50B. Wisniewski5.0011971162J. Pruszkowski1.12911117113LSep 20 · 11:00J. Pruszkowski1.167111191A. Eliasz4.4011136113LSep 20 · 09:50J. Pruszkowski1.0868100D. Poloszczanski4.901111123LSep 20 · 08:10B. Wisniewski3.101011715113J. Pruszkowski1.33127111382LSep 20 · 07:20D. Poloszczanski3.951111113J. Pruszkowski1.207790LSep 20 · 05:15M. Skorski3.80121111113J. Pruszkowski1.20145461LSep 20 · 04:30J. Rolak3.9011119113J. Pruszkowski1.20771181
Upcoming Matches
R. Idaczyk
Sep 21 · 05:40R. Idaczyk1.83J. Pelka1.83—Sep 21 · 06:55R. Idaczyk1.91M. Skuril1.80—Sep 21 · 08:35R. Idaczyk2.00P. Gumulinski1.73—Sep 21 · 09:50R. Idaczyk1.83J. Pelka1.83—Sep 21 · 10:35R. Idaczyk2.00P. Przewlocki1.73—Sep 21 · 12:15R. Idaczyk2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 21 · 13:05R. Idaczyk1.53M. Skuril2.09—Sep 21 · 13:55R. Idaczyk3.00J. Pruszkowski1.36—
J. Pruszkowski
Sep 21 · 06:30J. Pruszkowski1.57J. Pelka2.25—Sep 21 · 07:45J. Pruszkowski1.44M. Skuril2.63—Sep 21 · 09:25J. Pruszkowski1.67P. Gumulinski2.10—Sep 21 · 10:10J. Pruszkowski1.33M. Skuril3.00—Sep 21 · 11:25J. Pruszkowski1.44P. Przewlocki2.63—Sep 21 · 12:40J. Pruszkowski1.57J. Pelka2.25—Sep 21 · 13:55J. Pruszkowski1.36R. Idaczyk3.00—
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