TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119711711118811
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:34 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Pruszkowski above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 94 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 61.8%
94 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 117–105 Piotr Gumulinski Piotr Gumulinski has won 105 of their 222 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:34What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pruszkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
117-105 in 222
Pruszkowski
Wrong
gap of 12 in 222, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1405 vs Gumulinski 1463
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 60% vs Gumulinski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 40% vs Gumulinski 70%
Gumulinski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski +3 · Gumulinski +2
Pruszkowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.67 / Gumulinski 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pruszkowski)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13164040
Pruszkowski1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 447 of 685
Up 2–0, closes it95% 228 of 240
Up 1–0, closes it83% 344 of 414
Gumulinski2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 17)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog58% won 120 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back47% 55 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back17% 9 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski4wins
AwayGumulinski6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGumulinski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski28.6%2 of 7
AwayGumulinski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski7Gumulinski3n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S2Pruszkowski3Gumulinski7n = 10Gumulinski took 7 of 10
S3Pruszkowski5Gumulinski5n = 10split evenly
S4Pruszkowski5Gumulinski3n = 8Pruszkowski took 5 of 8
S5Pruszkowski0Gumulinski3n = 3Gumulinski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiGumulinskiP − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.639.1+2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1132 / 1793 vs 1029 / 183263.1%56.2%1132 / 1793 vs 1029 / 1832Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.67/Gumulinski 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 01:35J. Pruszkowski59199811122P. Gumulinski591711116143
WAug 30 · 19:35J. Pruszkowski351311113P. Gumulinski2111460
LJul 8 · 11:25J. Pruszkowski4711991172P. Gumulinski47511119113
LJul 8 · 05:15J. Pruszkowski2898110P. Gumulinski351111133
WJul 7 · 03:55J. Pruszkowski43101111113P. Gumulinski29125841
LJul 6 · 21:55J. Pruszkowski531113111082P. Gumulinski51415912113
LJul 6 · 03:55J. Pruszkowski26115461P. Gumulinski4181111113
WJul 5 · 21:55J. Pruszkowski4213711113P. Gumulinski331111651
LJun 29 · 23:30J. Pruszkowski37119891P. Gumulinski3851111113
WJun 29 · 19:10J. Pruszkowski4691111153P. Gumulinski371158131
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 21 · 04:10R. Idaczyk3.001071181J. Pruszkowski1.3612116113WSep 20 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski1.201281115113M. Skorski3.85101161772WSep 20 · 12:40M. Sinicki4.501012461J. Pruszkowski1.17121011113WSep 20 · 11:50B. Wisniewski5.0011971162J. Pruszkowski1.12911117113LSep 20 · 11:00J. Pruszkowski1.167111191A. Eliasz4.4011136113LSep 20 · 09:50J. Pruszkowski1.0868100D. Poloszczanski4.901111123LSep 20 · 08:10B. Wisniewski3.101011715113J. Pruszkowski1.33127111382LSep 20 · 07:20D. Poloszczanski3.951111113J. Pruszkowski1.207790LSep 20 · 05:15M. Skorski3.80121111113J. Pruszkowski1.20145461LSep 20 · 04:30J. Rolak3.9011119113J. Pruszkowski1.20771181
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 21 · 04:55J. Pelka1.8311914462P. Gumulinski1.838111211113WSep 17 · 14:20K. Kowalski4.3313581182P. Gumulinski1.201111116113WSep 17 · 13:30W. Ptak2.20114100P. Gumulinski1.611311123LSep 17 · 11:25P. Kurek2.3831111113P. Gumulinski1.53117761LSep 17 · 10:35I. Szymanski5.00611115133P. Gumulinski1.14118911112WSep 17 · 09:00L. Oracz2.0011651692P. Gumulinski1.737111114113WSep 17 · 08:10K. Kowalski5.5089111292P. Gumulinski1.131111510113WSep 17 · 07:20W. Ptak2.101199111P. Gumulinski1.6761111133LSep 17 · 05:15P. Kurek2.25119116113P. Gumulinski1.5791191162WSep 17 · 04:30L. Oracz1.91116771P. Gumulinski1.8071111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Pruszkowski
Sep 21 · 06:30J. Pruszkowski1.57J. Pelka2.25—Sep 21 · 07:45J. Pruszkowski1.44M. Skuril2.63—Sep 21 · 09:25J. Pruszkowski1.67P. Gumulinski2.10—Sep 21 · 10:10J. Pruszkowski1.33M. Skuril3.00—Sep 21 · 11:25J. Pruszkowski1.44P. Przewlocki2.63—Sep 21 · 12:40J. Pruszkowski1.57J. Pelka2.25—Sep 21 · 13:55J. Pruszkowski1.36R. Idaczyk3.00—
P. Gumulinski
Sep 21 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.61M. Skuril2.20—Sep 21 · 07:20P. Gumulinski1.61P. Przewlocki2.20—Sep 21 · 08:35P. Gumulinski1.73R. Idaczyk2.00—Sep 21 · 09:25P. Gumulinski2.10J. Pruszkowski1.67—Sep 21 · 11:00P. Gumulinski1.83J. Pelka1.83—Sep 21 · 12:15P. Gumulinski1.67R. Idaczyk2.10—Sep 21 · 13:30P. Gumulinski1.61P. Przewlocki2.20—Sep 21 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.37M. Skuril2.50—
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