Kamil Kowalski vs Piotr Gumulinski 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140082

Played Sep 17Finished

Kamil Kowalski

Home

5.50

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

8119111151210911

Piotr Gumulinski

Away

1.13

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:38 and never touched — 83.0% is still 83.0%

Graded at full time

Piotr Gumulinski to win

83.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingKamil Kowalski above · Piotr Gumulinski below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 12-10

Set 5 · 9-11

Point 97 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 83.0%

97 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:38

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.13 (83%)

Gumulinski

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kowalski 1028 vs Gumulinski 1489

Gumulinski

Correct

both rated, 462 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kowalski 40% vs Gumulinski 80%

Gumulinski

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kowalski 30% vs Gumulinski 90%

Gumulinski

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kowalski -2 · Gumulinski +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Gumulinski)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kowalski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKowalski 5.50 / Gumulinski 1.13

Signal prob.17% / 83%

Edge (Gumulinski)-0.0pp

TT Elite Series · #13140082

Kowalski5.50

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog15% won 19 of 123

Down 0–1, comes back4% 3 of 80

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 54

Gumulinski1.13

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite61% won 353 of 575

Up 2–0, closes it94% 162 of 172

Up 1–0, closes it77% 241 of 314

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKowalskiGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 134 vs 1029 / 183214.9%56.2%20 / 134 vs 1029 / 1832Avg sets wonper match1.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match32.439.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Gumulinski

Kowalski 5.50/Gumulinski 1.13

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

83%

Gumulinski · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Gumulinski won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

K. Kowalski10