TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134824
Played Sep 16Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117611611119711
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKacper Adamus above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Adamus 19–19 Piotr Gumulinski Dead even across their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-19 in 38
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1416 vs Gumulinski 1447
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 60% vs Gumulinski 80%
Gumulinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 60% vs Gumulinski 80%
Gumulinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -2 · Gumulinski +4
Gumulinski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.80 / Gumulinski 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adamus)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13134824
Adamus1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite62% won 360 of 581
Up 2–0, closes it97% 198 of 204
Up 1–0, closes it80% 288 of 362
Gumulinski1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog58% won 131 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back45% 58 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back18% 11 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayGumulinski5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus75%3 of 4
AwayGumulinski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus4Gumulinski6n = 10Gumulinski took 6 of 10
S2Adamus2Gumulinski8n = 10Gumulinski took 8 of 10
S3Adamus8Gumulinski2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S4Adamus5Gumulinski5n = 10split evenly
S5Adamus3Gumulinski2n = 5Adamus took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusGumulinskiA − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.144.8−0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime940 / 1741 vs 1027 / 182954%56.2%940 / 1741 vs 1027 / 1829Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.80/Gumulinski 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 16:40K. Adamus531171112122P. Gumulinski571311910143
WAug 12 · 10:40K. Adamus51117119133P. Gumulinski45911311112
WAug 11 · 03:05K. Adamus55991113133P. Gumulinski511111711112
LAug 10 · 21:05K. Adamus35791181P. Gumulinski4011117113
LJul 14 · 24:10K. Adamus4412681172P. Gumulinski481011115113
WJul 13 · 20:20K. Adamus4211515113P. Gumulinski418111391
LJun 26 · 22:55K. Adamus363131371P. Gumulinski48111511113
WJun 26 · 16:55K. Adamus529111110113P. Gumulinski4711971282
WJun 18 · 22:50K. Adamus3911116113P. Gumulinski30771151
LMay 15 · 02:45K. Adamus346101171P. Gumulinski4111127113
K. Adamus10
LSep 16 · 12:40R. Gajda1.831191112113K. Adamus1.83131191092LSep 16 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.9111411113K. Adamus1.80911661WSep 16 · 11:00K. Adamus1.671113123W. Urban2.10611100WSep 16 · 09:50K. Adamus1.221111113I. Szymanski4.006790LSep 16 · 08:10K. Adamus2.00121198102P. Gumulinski1.731091111123WSep 16 · 06:30R. Gajda1.8310880K. Adamus1.831211113WSep 16 · 05:40I. Szymanski5.0010830K. Adamus1.141211113LSep 16 · 04:55K. Adamus1.67117891W. Urban2.1091111113WSep 16 · 03:50K. Adamus1.671111113P. Przewlocki2.108680WSep 15 · 05:05K. Adamus2.0011611113S. Szostok1.71711791
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 16 · 13:30W. Urban2.208270P. Gumulinski1.611111113WSep 16 · 11:25R. Gajda2.0011880P. Gumulinski1.731311113WSep 16 · 10:35I. Szymanski4.505119111P. Gumulinski1.1711311133WSep 16 · 09:00P. Przewlocki2.75771171P. Gumulinski1.4011118113WSep 16 · 08:10K. Adamus2.00121198102P. Gumulinski1.731091111123LSep 16 · 07:20W. Urban2.10911811123P. Gumulinski1.67119117102WSep 16 · 05:15R. Gajda2.20611841P. Gumulinski1.6111911113LSep 16 · 04:30P. Przewlocki2.251111113P. Gumulinski1.579490WSep 16 · 03:00I. Szymanski4.004670P. Gumulinski1.221111113WSep 15 · 13:55M. Sikon2.75281271P. Gumulinski1.40111110113
Upcoming Matches
K. Adamus
Nothing scheduled
P. Gumulinski
Sep 17 · 03:00P. Gumulinski1.17I. Szymanski4.50—Sep 17 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.80L. Oracz1.91—Sep 17 · 05:15P. Gumulinski1.53P. Kurek2.38—Sep 17 · 07:20P. Gumulinski1.67W. Ptak2.10—Sep 17 · 08:10P. Gumulinski1.13K. Kowalski5.50—Sep 17 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.80L. Oracz1.91—Sep 17 · 10:35P. Gumulinski1.17I. Szymanski4.50—Sep 17 · 11:25P. Gumulinski1.53P. Kurek2.38—Sep 17 · 13:30P. Gumulinski1.67W. Ptak2.10—Sep 17 · 14:20P. Gumulinski1.13K. Kowalski5.50—
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