TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1189111412411611
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:53 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJerzy Pelka above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 97 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 54.4%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jerzy Pelka 9–17 Piotr Gumulinski Jerzy Pelka has won 9 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:53What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-17 in 26
Gumulinski
Correct
gap of 8 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1380 vs Gumulinski 1482
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 80% vs Gumulinski 60%
Pelka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 60% vs Gumulinski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka +1 · Gumulinski +3
Gumulinski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gumulinski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 1.83 / Gumulinski 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gumulinski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13164847
Pelka1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Gumulinski1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka5wins
AwayGumulinski5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka57.1%4 of 7
AwayGumulinski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka7Gumulinski3n = 10Pelka took 7 of 10
S2Pelka4Gumulinski6n = 10Gumulinski took 6 of 10
S3Pelka4Gumulinski6n = 10Gumulinski took 6 of 10
S4Pelka4Gumulinski5n = 9Gumulinski took 5 of 9
S5Pelka2Gumulinski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaGumulinskiP − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.539.0+1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime441 / 941 vs 1025 / 181946.9%56.4%441 / 941 vs 1025 / 1819Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiPelka 1.83/Gumulinski 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 22:50J. Pelka47121111492P. Gumulinski471021311113
LJul 30 · 12:20J. Pelka49111167142P. Gumulinski48281111163
LJul 30 · 08:20J. Pelka258980P. Gumulinski331111113
WMay 30 · 03:55J. Pelka46118115113P. Gumulinski4351171192
LMay 29 · 20:45J. Pelka4313121171P. Gumulinski4715147113
WApr 17 · 02:20J. Pelka3711114113P. Gumulinski31781151
WApr 16 · 20:20J. Pelka4111118113P. Gumulinski29551181
WMar 10 · 12:55J. Pelka462101112113P. Gumulinski44111241072
WMar 10 · 06:55J. Pelka4111811113P. Gumulinski32611871
LNov 12 · 15:20J. Pelka30118561P. Gumulinski3631111113
J. Pelka10
WSep 21 · 05:40R. Idaczyk1.83810190J. Pelka1.831112213WSep 21 · 03:50J. Pelka1.9181111133M. Skuril1.801184111LSep 19 · 08:00J. Pelka1.65891141T. Lojtek2.1011119113WSep 19 · 06:45J. Pelka1.3014811113M. Cesarz3.251211481WSep 19 · 05:35J. Pelka1.5411911113J. Kaczmarek2.25611791WSep 19 · 04:25W. Urban1.83117991J. Pelka1.8381111113LSep 19 · 03:35J. Pelka1.90111111121W. Pytlas1.8013813143WSep 18 · 14:40J. Pelka2.00141411113O. Vincenec1.7312121381LSep 18 · 13:05J. Pelka2.00146591L. Oracz1.73121111113WSep 18 · 11:50J. Pelka1.8351111113W. Urban1.83117741
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 21 · 03:25J. Pruszkowski1.6711771182P. Gumulinski2.10911118113WSep 17 · 14:20K. Kowalski4.3313581182P. Gumulinski1.201111116113WSep 17 · 13:30W. Ptak2.20114100P. Gumulinski1.611311123LSep 17 · 11:25P. Kurek2.3831111113P. Gumulinski1.53117761LSep 17 · 10:35I. Szymanski5.00611115133P. Gumulinski1.14118911112WSep 17 · 09:00L. Oracz2.0011651692P. Gumulinski1.737111114113WSep 17 · 08:10K. Kowalski5.5089111292P. Gumulinski1.131111510113WSep 17 · 07:20W. Ptak2.101199111P. Gumulinski1.6761111133LSep 17 · 05:15P. Kurek2.25119116113P. Gumulinski1.5791191162WSep 17 · 04:30L. Oracz1.91116771P. Gumulinski1.8071111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Pelka
Sep 21 · 06:30J. Pelka2.25J. Pruszkowski1.57—Sep 21 · 08:10J. Pelka1.73P. Przewlocki2.00—Sep 21 · 09:50J. Pelka1.83R. Idaczyk1.83—Sep 21 · 11:00J. Pelka1.83P. Gumulinski1.83—Sep 21 · 11:50J. Pelka1.66M. Skuril2.05—Sep 21 · 12:40J. Pelka2.25J. Pruszkowski1.57—Sep 21 · 14:20J. Pelka1.73P. Przewlocki2.00—
P. Gumulinski
Sep 21 · 07:20P. Gumulinski1.61P. Przewlocki2.20—Sep 21 · 08:35P. Gumulinski1.73R. Idaczyk2.00—Sep 21 · 09:25P. Gumulinski2.10J. Pruszkowski1.67—Sep 21 · 11:00P. Gumulinski1.83J. Pelka1.83—Sep 21 · 12:15P. Gumulinski1.67R. Idaczyk2.10—Sep 21 · 13:30P. Gumulinski1.61P. Przewlocki2.20—Sep 21 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.37M. Skuril2.50—
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