Jerzy Pelka vs Michal Skuril 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Sep 21Finished

Jerzy Pelka

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

8111181141311––

Michal Skuril

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:42 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%

Graded at full time

Michal Skuril to win

57.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJerzy Pelka above · Michal Skuril below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 11-4

Set 4 · 13-11

Point 77 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Michal Skuril at 57.9%

77 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:42

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Skuril

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Pelka 1367 vs Skuril 1383

Skuril

Wrong

both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Pelka 60% vs Skuril 80%

Skuril

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Pelka 50% vs Skuril 80%

Skuril

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Pelka -1 · Skuril +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skuril) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Skuril form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPelka 1.91 / Skuril 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Skuril)+2.5pp

TT Elite Series · #13164147

Pelka1.91

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog48% won 85 of 179

Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 80

Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46

Skuril1.80

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite47% won 7 of 15

Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricPelkaSkurilBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 940 vs 20 / 4046.8%50%440 / 940 vs 20 / 40Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Skuril

Pelka 1.91/Skuril 1.80

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Skuril · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Pelka won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Pelka10