TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Skuril
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117114119––––
Andrzej Szurgot
Away
3.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:09 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Skuril to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Skuril above · Andrzej Szurgot below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 10-9
Point 52 set 3, 10-9 — our read held Michal Skuril at 60.8%
52 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Michal Skuril 1–0 Andrzej Szurgot Andrzej Szurgot has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Skuril beat Szurgot 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (74%)
Skuril
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skuril 1363 vs Szurgot 1076
Skuril
Correct
both rated, 287 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skuril 80% vs Szurgot 20%
Skuril
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skuril 60% vs Szurgot 10%
Skuril
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skuril -1 · Szurgot +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Skuril) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkuril 1.25 / Szurgot 3.60
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Skuril)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13162742
Skuril1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 7 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Szurgot3.60
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog16% won 13 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back11% 7 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSkuril1wins
AwaySzurgot0wins
Skuril leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSkurilSzurgotSkuril − SzurgotBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.019.0+14.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkurilSzurgotBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 38 vs 19 / 10847.4%17.6%18 / 38 vs 19 / 108Avg sets wonper match1.91.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.730.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkurilSkuril 1.25/Szurgot 3.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.2%
Skuril · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skuril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 20 · 06:55M. Skuril331111113A. Szurgot196760
M. Skuril10
LSep 20 · 11:50M. Skuril3.059930P. Polok1.241111113WSep 20 · 10:10M. Skuril2.05121111113J. Jesiek1.66148371WSep 20 · 09:00M. Skuril3.001814113W. Wojtaszczyk1.33161230WSep 20 · 07:45J. Jesiek1.73104110M. Skuril2.001211133WSep 20 · 06:55A. Szurgot3.506760M. Skuril1.281111113WSep 20 · 06:05M. Skuril2.001191111113W. Buczynski1.7313116872WSep 20 · 04:30M. Skuril3.0012113113W. Wojtaszczyk1.361041161LSep 20 · 03:50P. Polok1.36116113113M. Skuril3.0051121172LJul 4 · 14:40M. Skuril2.00121071172K. Schaniel1.731012119113LJul 4 · 13:05M. Skuril2.9585111172P. Jedrzejak1.33111168113
A. Szurgot10
LSep 20 · 13:55J. Jesiek1.15111111113A. Szurgot3.85413431WSep 20 · 12:15A. Szurgot4.50111110113W. Buczynski1.17651261LSep 20 · 10:35A. Szurgot8.5085130W. Wojtaszczyk1.051111153LSep 20 · 09:50P. Polok1.0331111113A. Szurgot10.00115751LSep 20 · 08:35A. Szurgot5.0010811111W. Buczynski1.1412118133LSep 20 · 06:55A. Szurgot3.506760M. Skuril1.281111113LSep 20 · 05:40A. Szurgot8.0061060P. Polok1.061112113LSep 20 · 04:10A. Szurgot4.50113981J. Jesiek1.17111111113LSep 20 · 03:00A. Szurgot8.50211841W. Wojtaszczyk1.0511811113LSep 19 · 08:35A. Szurgot5.009880W. Buczynski1.141111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Skuril
A. Szurgot
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