Pawel Polok vs Michal Skuril 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Sep 20Finished

Pawel Polok

Home

1.36

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

115611112311117

Michal Skuril

Away

3.00

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:57 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%

Graded at full time

Pawel Polok to win

71.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingPawel Polok above · Michal Skuril below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-2

Set 4 · 3-11

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 78 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Pawel Polok at 71.6%

78 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 13:57

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.36 (69%)

Polok

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Polok 1498 vs Skuril 1239

Polok

Correct

both rated, 258 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Polok 60% vs Skuril 20%

Polok

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Polok 60% vs Skuril 30%

Polok

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Polok +1 · Skuril -4

Skuril

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Polok)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Skuril form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPolok 1.36 / Skuril 3.00

Signal prob.72% / 28%

Edge (Polok)+2.8pp

TT Elite Series · #13159716

Polok1.36

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite66% won 88 of 134

Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51

Up 1–0, closes it84% 73 of 87

Skuril3.00

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 78 days ago (Jul 04) · back after a break

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog23% won 3 of 13

Down 0–1, comes back17% 1 of 6

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricPolokSkurilBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 205 vs 12 / 3064.4%40%132 / 205 vs 12 / 30Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Polok

Polok 1.36/Skuril 3.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

71.6%

Polok · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Polok won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

P. Polok10