TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Skuril
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113911116118117
Witold Buczynski
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:28 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeWitold Buczynski to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Skuril above · Witold Buczynski below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Witold Buczynski at 54.5%
98 points played in total.
H2H Michal Skuril 1–0 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:28What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Buczynski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skuril 1313 vs Buczynski 1352
Buczynski
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skuril 20% vs Buczynski 60%
Buczynski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skuril 30% vs Buczynski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skuril +1 · Buczynski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Buczynski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skuril form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkuril 2.00 / Buczynski 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Buczynski)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13159823
Skuril2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog21% won 3 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Buczynski1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 40 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it60% 30 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSkuril1wins
AwayBuczynski0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSkuril leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSkurilBuczynskiS − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match53.045.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkurilBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime16 / 35 vs 442 / 111145.7%39.8%16 / 35 vs 442 / 1111Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuczynskiSkuril 2.00/Buczynski 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Buczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skuril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 20 · 06:05M. Skuril531191111113W. Buczynski4513116872
M. Skuril10
WSep 20 · 07:45J. Jesiek1.73104110M. Skuril2.001211133WSep 20 · 06:55A. Szurgot3.506760M. Skuril1.281111113WSep 20 · 04:30M. Skuril3.0012113113W. Wojtaszczyk1.361041161LSep 20 · 03:50P. Polok1.36116113113M. Skuril3.0051121172LJul 4 · 14:40M. Skuril2.00121071172K. Schaniel1.731012119113LJul 4 · 13:05M. Skuril2.9585111172P. Jedrzejak1.33111168113LJul 4 · 11:50M. Skuril2.50111175112J. Wieczerzak1.50381111133LJul 4 · 10:10M. Skuril2.501191181R. Glica1.5091113113WJul 4 · 09:00M. Skuril1.7311611113P. Kurek2.00611871LJul 4 · 07:45R. Glica1.44121111133M. Skuril2.631469111
W. Buczynski10
LSep 20 · 07:20W. Buczynski3.2541090W. Wojtaszczyk1.331112113WSep 20 · 04:55P. Polok1.401071171W. Buczynski2.7512117113WSep 20 · 03:25J. Jesiek1.73711100W. Buczynski2.001113123LSep 19 · 14:40P. Polok1.401111113W. Buczynski2.759660WSep 19 · 13:30W. Buczynski3.401011159113W. Wojtaszczyk1.30128131162LSep 19 · 12:15W. Jozala2.2591111113W. Buczynski1.57113671LSep 19 · 11:00P. Adamus1.6711711113W. Buczynski2.10811461LSep 19 · 09:25P. Mecik1.8351113113W. Buczynski1.831181171WSep 19 · 08:35A. Szurgot5.009880W. Buczynski1.141111113LSep 19 · 07:20W. Buczynski3.007670W. Wojtaszczyk1.361111113
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