TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Jakub Jesiek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10124111113––––
Michal Skuril
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:47 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Jesiek to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Jesiek above · Michal Skuril below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Jakub Jesiek at 58.6%
61 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Jesiek 0–1 Michal Skuril Jakub Jesiek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:47What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jesiek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jesiek 1340 vs Skuril 1313
Jesiek
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jesiek 60% vs Skuril 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jesiek 50% vs Skuril 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jesiek -1 · Skuril +3
Skuril
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jesiek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJesiek 1.73 / Skuril 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jesiek)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13159697
Jesiek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 84 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 62 of 83
Skuril2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog21% won 3 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJesiek0wins
AwaySkuril1wins
Skuril leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricJesiekSkurilJ − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.036.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJesiekSkurilBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 528 vs 16 / 3552.3%45.7%276 / 528 vs 16 / 35Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JesiekJesiek 1.73/Skuril 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jesiek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skuril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 20 · 07:45J. Jesiek25104110M. Skuril361211133
J. Jesiek10
LSep 20 · 06:30J. Jesiek3.008820P. Polok1.361111113WSep 20 · 05:15J. Jesiek2.381111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.539880WSep 20 · 04:10A. Szurgot4.50113981J. Jesiek1.17111111113LSep 20 · 03:25J. Jesiek1.73711100W. Buczynski2.001113123WSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113LSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882LSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581WSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123LSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113
M. Skuril10
WSep 20 · 06:55A. Szurgot3.506760M. Skuril1.281111113WSep 20 · 06:05M. Skuril2.001191111113W. Buczynski1.7313116872WSep 20 · 04:30M. Skuril3.0012113113W. Wojtaszczyk1.361041161LSep 20 · 03:50P. Polok1.36116113113M. Skuril3.0051121172LJul 4 · 14:40M. Skuril2.00121071172K. Schaniel1.731012119113LJul 4 · 13:05M. Skuril2.9585111172P. Jedrzejak1.33111168113LJul 4 · 11:50M. Skuril2.50111175112J. Wieczerzak1.50381111133LJul 4 · 10:10M. Skuril2.501191181R. Glica1.5091113113WJul 4 · 09:00M. Skuril1.7311611113P. Kurek2.00611871LJul 4 · 07:45R. Glica1.44121111133M. Skuril2.631469111
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