TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Andrzej Szurgot
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711611––––
Michal Skuril
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 75.9% is still 75.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Skuril to win
75.9%
75.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrzej Szurgot above · Michal Skuril below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Michal Skuril at 75.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Andrzej Szurgot 0–1 Michal Skuril Andrzej Szurgot has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:18What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Skuril
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Szurgot 1011 vs Skuril 1313
Skuril
Correct
both rated, 301 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szurgot 0% vs Skuril 40%
Skuril
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szurgot 10% vs Skuril 30%
Skuril
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szurgot -8 · Skuril +2
Szurgot
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Skuril) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skuril form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzurgot 3.50 / Skuril 1.28
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Skuril)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13159587
Szurgot3.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog16% won 13 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back11% 7 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Skuril1.28
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 7 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSzurgot0wins
AwaySkuril1wins
Skuril leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSzurgotSkurilSzurgot − SkurilBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match19.033.0−14.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzurgotSkurilBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 104 vs 16 / 3517.3%45.7%18 / 104 vs 16 / 35Avg sets wonper match1.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match30.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkurilSzurgot 3.50/Skuril 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Skuril · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skuril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 20 · 06:55A. Szurgot196760M. Skuril331111113
A. Szurgot10
LSep 20 · 05:40A. Szurgot8.0061060P. Polok1.061112113LSep 20 · 04:10A. Szurgot4.50113981J. Jesiek1.17111111113LSep 20 · 03:00A. Szurgot8.50211841W. Wojtaszczyk1.0511811113LSep 19 · 08:35A. Szurgot5.009880W. Buczynski1.141111113LSep 19 · 06:55A. Szurgot4.339690P. Polok1.201111113LSep 19 · 05:40A. Szurgot3.0081070P. Mecik1.361112113LSep 19 · 04:10A. Szurgot5.50212461R. Szymik1.13111011113LSep 19 · 03:00A. Szurgot8.50114991W. Wojtaszczyk1.0591111113WSep 19 · 01:45J. Nowak1.3081112111A. Szurgot3.4011414133LSep 19 · 01:00K. Durak1.101111113A. Szurgot6.508480
M. Skuril10
WSep 20 · 07:45J. Jesiek1.73104110M. Skuril2.001211133WSep 20 · 06:05M. Skuril2.001191111113W. Buczynski1.7313116872WSep 20 · 04:30M. Skuril3.0012113113W. Wojtaszczyk1.361041161LSep 20 · 03:50P. Polok1.36116113113M. Skuril3.0051121172LJul 4 · 14:40M. Skuril2.00121071172K. Schaniel1.731012119113LJul 4 · 13:05M. Skuril2.9585111172P. Jedrzejak1.33111168113LJul 4 · 11:50M. Skuril2.50111175112J. Wieczerzak1.50381111133LJul 4 · 10:10M. Skuril2.501191181R. Glica1.5091113113WJul 4 · 09:00M. Skuril1.7311611113P. Kurek2.00611871LJul 4 · 07:45R. Glica1.44121111133M. Skuril2.631469111
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