Andrzej Szurgot vs Jakub Jesiek 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Sep 20Finished

Andrzej Szurgot

Home

4.50

At publish

Lost last 6

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 6

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1111311911811––

Jakub Jesiek

Away

1.17

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:48 and never touched — 82.2% is still 82.2%

Graded at full time

Jakub Jesiek to win

82.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingAndrzej Szurgot above · Jakub Jesiek below

Set 1 · 1-11

Set 2 · 13-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 8-11

Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Jesiek at 82.2%

75 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 13:48

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.17 (79%)

Jesiek

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Szurgot 1024 vs Jesiek 1332

Jesiek

Correct

both rated, 308 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Szurgot 0% vs Jesiek 40%

Jesiek

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Szurgot 10% vs Jesiek 40%

Jesiek

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Szurgot -6 · Jesiek -1

Szurgot

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Jesiek)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Jesiek form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSzurgot 4.50 / Jesiek 1.17

Signal prob.18% / 82%

Edge (Jesiek)+2.8pp

TT Elite Series · #13159715

Szurgot4.50

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 6

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog17% won 13 of 78

Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 58

Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40

Jesiek1.17

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite55% won 83 of 152

Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50

Up 1–0, closes it74% 61 of 82

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricSzurgotJesiekBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 101 vs 274 / 52417.8%52.3%18 / 101 vs 274 / 524Avg sets wonper match1.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match30.538.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Jesiek

Szurgot 4.50/Jesiek 1.17

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

82.2%

Jesiek · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Jesiek won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

A. Szurgot10