TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13153569
Played Sep 19Finished
Witold Buczynski
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121181513911116
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:43 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingWitold Buczynski above · Wojciech Wojtaszczyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-3
Point 100 set 5, 8-3 — our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 71.2%
100 points drawn · the score is 6 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Witold Buczynski 4–13 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Witold Buczynski has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Wojtaszczyk beat Buczynski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:43What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-13 in 17
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buczynski 1333 vs Wojtaszczyk 1513
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 179 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buczynski 20% vs Wojtaszczyk 80%
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buczynski 50% vs Wojtaszczyk 70%
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buczynski -3 · Wojtaszczyk -1
Buczynski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Wojtaszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuczynski 3.40 / Wojtaszczyk 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13153569
Buczynski3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 194 of 498
Down 0–1, comes back23% 69 of 296
Down 0–2, comes back5% 8 of 162
Wojtaszczyk1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 367 of 529
Up 2–0, closes it97% 199 of 206
Up 1–0, closes it84% 286 of 339
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuczynski2wins
AwayWojtaszczyk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWojtaszczyk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuczynski40%2 of 5
AwayWojtaszczyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buczynski5Wojtaszczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Buczynski2Wojtaszczyk8n = 10Wojtaszczyk took 8 of 10
S3Buczynski3Wojtaszczyk7n = 10Wojtaszczyk took 7 of 10
S4Buczynski1Wojtaszczyk2n = 3Wojtaszczyk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuczynskiWojtaszczykB − WBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match30.233.7−3.5per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuczynskiWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime441 / 1109 vs 559 / 83039.8%67.4%441 / 1109 vs 559 / 830Avg sets wonper match1.82.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykBuczynski 3.40/Wojtaszczyk 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.7%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 19 · 07:20W. Buczynski207670W. Wojtaszczyk331111113
LAug 25 · 13:30W. Buczynski247890W. Wojtaszczyk331111113
LAug 25 · 07:20W. Buczynski42117101132W. Wojtaszczyk50711129113
LAug 19 · 06:05W. Buczynski2781090W. Wojtaszczyk341112113
LAug 4 · 14:40W. Buczynski34116891W. Wojtaszczyk3741111113
WAug 4 · 06:05W. Buczynski331111113W. Wojtaszczyk156630
LAug 3 · 13:55W. Buczynski238780W. Wojtaszczyk331111113
LAug 3 · 08:35W. Buczynski32913100W. Wojtaszczyk381115123
WJul 29 · 13:55W. Buczynski371112143W. Wojtaszczyk30810120
W. Buczynski10
LSep 19 · 14:40P. Polok1.401111113W. Buczynski2.759660LSep 19 · 12:15W. Jozala2.2591111113W. Buczynski1.57113671LSep 19 · 11:00P. Adamus1.6711711113W. Buczynski2.10811461LSep 19 · 09:25P. Mecik1.8351113113W. Buczynski1.831181171WSep 19 · 08:35A. Szurgot5.009880W. Buczynski1.141111113LSep 19 · 07:20W. Buczynski3.007670W. Wojtaszczyk1.361111113LSep 19 · 06:05P. Polok1.36111212113W. Buczynski3.009101491WSep 19 · 04:55P. Mecik2.10411111152W. Buczynski1.67117913113WSep 19 · 03:25R. Szymik1.6111791152W. Buczynski2.20811114113WSep 17 · 17:05W. Buczynski2.091111113O. Sokolowski1.614530
W. Wojtaszczyk10
WSep 19 · 14:20P. Adamus2.25712651W. Wojtaszczyk1.57111011113LSep 19 · 11:25P. Mecik2.7511711133W. Wojtaszczyk1.406117111WSep 19 · 10:35W. Jozala4.33135861W. Wojtaszczyk1.20111111113WSep 19 · 09:00P. Polok1.731291071W. Wojtaszczyk2.00101112113WSep 19 · 08:10P. Mecik2.75711471W. Wojtaszczyk1.4011711113WSep 19 · 07:20W. Buczynski3.007670W. Wojtaszczyk1.361111113LSep 19 · 05:15R. Szymik2.2071115113W. Wojtaszczyk1.611181371WSep 19 · 04:30P. Polok1.61111111962W. Wojtaszczyk2.20138311113WSep 19 · 03:00A. Szurgot8.50114991W. Wojtaszczyk1.0591111113LSep 13 · 14:40S. Szostok2.001111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.736860
Upcoming Matches
W. Buczynski
Sep 20 · 03:25W. Buczynski2.00J. Jesiek1.73—Sep 20 · 06:05W. Buczynski1.73M. Skuril2.00—Sep 20 · 08:35W. Buczynski1.14A. Szurgot5.00—Sep 20 · 09:25W. Buczynski2.00J. Jesiek1.73—Sep 20 · 11:00W. Buczynski2.75P. Polok1.40—Sep 20 · 12:15W. Buczynski1.14A. Szurgot5.00—Sep 20 · 13:30W. Buczynski3.40W. Wojtaszczyk1.30—
W. Wojtaszczyk
Sep 20 · 03:00W. Wojtaszczyk1.05A. Szurgot8.50—Sep 20 · 04:30W. Wojtaszczyk1.36M. Skuril3.00—Sep 20 · 05:15W. Wojtaszczyk1.53J. Jesiek2.38—Sep 20 · 08:10W. Wojtaszczyk1.91P. Polok1.80—Sep 20 · 10:35W. Wojtaszczyk1.05A. Szurgot8.50—Sep 20 · 11:25W. Wojtaszczyk1.53J. Jesiek2.38—Sep 20 · 13:30W. Wojtaszczyk1.30W. Buczynski3.40—Sep 20 · 14:20W. Wojtaszczyk2.00P. Polok1.73—
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