TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Andrzej Szurgot
Home
5.00
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10128111181113––
Witold Buczynski
Away
1.14
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:07 and never touched — 84.2% is still 84.2%
Graded at full timeWitold Buczynski to win
84.2%
84.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrzej Szurgot above · Witold Buczynski below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 84 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Witold Buczynski at 84.2%
84 points played in total.
H2H Andrzej Szurgot 0–3 Witold Buczynski Andrzej Szurgot has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:07What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Buczynski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Buczynski
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szurgot 1011 vs Buczynski 1352
Buczynski
Correct
both rated, 341 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szurgot 0% vs Buczynski 40%
Buczynski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szurgot 10% vs Buczynski 40%
Buczynski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szurgot -9 · Buczynski -2
Szurgot
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Buczynski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (40%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzurgot 5.00 / Buczynski 1.14
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Buczynski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13159488
Szurgot5.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog16% won 13 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back11% 7 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Buczynski1.14
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 40 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it60% 30 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSzurgot0wins
AwayBuczynski3wins
Buczynski leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szurgot1Buczynski2n = 3Buczynski took 2 of 3
S2Szurgot0Buczynski3n = 3Buczynski took 3 of 3
S3Szurgot1Buczynski2n = 3Buczynski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSzurgotBuczynskiS − BBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match32.340.0−7.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzurgotBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 104 vs 442 / 111117.3%39.8%18 / 104 vs 442 / 1111Avg sets wonper match1.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match30.336.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuczynskiSzurgot 5.00/Buczynski 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.2%
Buczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 19 · 08:35A. Szurgot259880W. Buczynski331111113
LAug 22 · 12:15A. Szurgot32119841W. Buczynski4181111113
LAug 22 · 08:35A. Szurgot4011111171W. Buczynski4613139113
A. Szurgot10
LSep 20 · 06:55A. Szurgot3.506760M. Skuril1.281111113LSep 20 · 05:40A. Szurgot8.0061060P. Polok1.061112113LSep 20 · 04:10A. Szurgot4.50113981J. Jesiek1.17111111113LSep 20 · 03:00A. Szurgot8.50211841W. Wojtaszczyk1.0511811113LSep 19 · 08:35A. Szurgot5.009880W. Buczynski1.141111113LSep 19 · 06:55A. Szurgot4.339690P. Polok1.201111113LSep 19 · 05:40A. Szurgot3.0081070P. Mecik1.361112113LSep 19 · 04:10A. Szurgot5.50212461R. Szymik1.13111011113LSep 19 · 03:00A. Szurgot8.50114991W. Wojtaszczyk1.0591111113WSep 19 · 01:45J. Nowak1.3081112111A. Szurgot3.4011414133
W. Buczynski10
LSep 20 · 09:25J. Jesiek1.731211153W. Buczynski2.00108130LSep 20 · 07:20W. Buczynski3.2541090W. Wojtaszczyk1.331112113LSep 20 · 06:05M. Skuril2.001191111113W. Buczynski1.7313116872WSep 20 · 04:55P. Polok1.401071171W. Buczynski2.7512117113WSep 20 · 03:25J. Jesiek1.73711100W. Buczynski2.001113123LSep 19 · 14:40P. Polok1.401111113W. Buczynski2.759660WSep 19 · 13:30W. Buczynski3.401011159113W. Wojtaszczyk1.30128131162LSep 19 · 12:15W. Jozala2.2591111113W. Buczynski1.57113671LSep 19 · 11:00P. Adamus1.6711711113W. Buczynski2.10811461WSep 19 · 08:35A. Szurgot5.009880W. Buczynski1.141111113
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