TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Jakub Jesiek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101181513––––
Witold Buczynski
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Jesiek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Jesiek above · Witold Buczynski below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 15-13
Point 69 set 3, 15-13 — our read held Jakub Jesiek at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Jesiek 8–8 Witold Buczynski Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:10What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jesiek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jesiek 1340 vs Buczynski 1359
Buczynski
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jesiek 40% vs Buczynski 60%
Buczynski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jesiek 40% vs Buczynski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jesiek -2 · Buczynski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jesiek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jesiek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJesiek 1.73 / Buczynski 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jesiek)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13159489
Jesiek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 84 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 62 of 83
Buczynski2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 196 of 504
Down 0–1, comes back23% 70 of 301
Down 0–2, comes back5% 8 of 165
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJesiek4wins
AwayBuczynski6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBuczynski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJesiek66.7%2 of 3
AwayBuczynski71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jesiek3Buczynski7n = 10Buczynski took 7 of 10
S2Jesiek4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S3Jesiek3Buczynski7n = 10Buczynski took 7 of 10
S4Jesiek3Buczynski2n = 5Jesiek took 3 of 5
S5Jesiek3Buczynski2n = 5Jesiek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricJesiekBuczynskiJ − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.639.5−2.9per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJesiekBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 528 vs 442 / 111152.3%39.8%276 / 528 vs 442 / 1111Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JesiekJesiek 1.73/Buczynski 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jesiek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jesiek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 03:25J. Jesiek28711100W. Buczynski361113123
LSep 5 · 16:40J. Jesiek2611690W. Buczynski351311113
LJun 20 · 15:55J. Jesiek238870W. Buczynski331111113
LJun 20 · 09:55J. Jesiek40411111132W. Buczynski53119913113
WJun 13 · 17:05J. Jesiek52813911113W. Buczynski50111111982
WJun 13 · 08:45J. Jesiek46114119113W. Buczynski4481161182
LMay 24 · 11:30J. Jesiek208840W. Buczynski331111113
LMay 24 · 07:10J. Jesiek48111091172W. Buczynski51912118113
WMay 23 · 11:30J. Jesiek331111113W. Buczynski228950
WMay 23 · 07:10J. Jesiek50911811113W. Buczynski3811511742
J. Jesiek10
LSep 20 · 10:10M. Skuril2.05121111113J. Jesiek1.66148371LSep 20 · 07:45J. Jesiek1.73104110M. Skuril2.001211133LSep 20 · 06:30J. Jesiek3.008820P. Polok1.361111113WSep 20 · 05:15J. Jesiek2.381111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.539880WSep 20 · 04:10A. Szurgot4.50113981J. Jesiek1.17111111113LSep 20 · 03:25J. Jesiek1.73711100W. Buczynski2.001113123WSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113LSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882LSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581WSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123
W. Buczynski10
WSep 20 · 08:35A. Szurgot5.0010811111W. Buczynski1.1412118133LSep 20 · 07:20W. Buczynski3.2541090W. Wojtaszczyk1.331112113LSep 20 · 06:05M. Skuril2.001191111113W. Buczynski1.7313116872WSep 20 · 04:55P. Polok1.401071171W. Buczynski2.7512117113WSep 20 · 03:25J. Jesiek1.73711100W. Buczynski2.001113123LSep 19 · 14:40P. Polok1.401111113W. Buczynski2.759660WSep 19 · 13:30W. Buczynski3.401011159113W. Wojtaszczyk1.30128131162LSep 19 · 12:15W. Jozala2.2591111113W. Buczynski1.57113671LSep 19 · 11:00P. Adamus1.6711711113W. Buczynski2.10811461LSep 19 · 09:25P. Mecik1.8351113113W. Buczynski1.831181171
Upcoming Matches
J. Jesiek
W. Buczynski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.