TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Jakub Jesiek
Home
1.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141113114113––
Andrzej Szurgot
Away
3.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:09 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Jesiek to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Jesiek above · Andrzej Szurgot below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 68 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Jakub Jesiek at 68.7%
68 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Jesiek 1–0 Andrzej Szurgot Andrzej Szurgot has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.15 (77%)
Jesiek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jesiek 1356 vs Szurgot 1065
Jesiek
Correct
both rated, 291 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jesiek 40% vs Szurgot 20%
Jesiek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jesiek 50% vs Szurgot 10%
Jesiek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jesiek +1 · Szurgot -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Jesiek) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jesiek form (40%) is below what odds imply (87%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJesiek 1.15 / Szurgot 3.85
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Jesiek)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13162741
Jesiek1.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 84 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 62 of 83
Szurgot3.85
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog16% won 13 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back11% 7 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJesiek1wins
AwaySzurgot0wins
Jesiek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJesiekSzurgotJ − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.031.0+13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJesiekSzurgotBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 532 vs 19 / 10952.3%17.4%278 / 532 vs 19 / 109Avg sets wonper match2.11.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.430.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JesiekJesiek 1.15/Szurgot 3.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.8%
Jesiek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jesiek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 20 · 04:10J. Jesiek44111111113A. Szurgot31113981
J. Jesiek10
WSep 20 · 12:40J. Jesiek3.751111113P. Polok1.259670LSep 20 · 11:25J. Jesiek2.5010118111W. Wojtaszczyk1.5012511133LSep 20 · 10:10M. Skuril2.05121111113J. Jesiek1.66148371WSep 20 · 09:25J. Jesiek1.731211153W. Buczynski2.00108130LSep 20 · 07:45J. Jesiek1.73104110M. Skuril2.001211133LSep 20 · 06:30J. Jesiek3.008820P. Polok1.361111113WSep 20 · 05:15J. Jesiek2.381111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.539880WSep 20 · 04:10A. Szurgot4.50113981J. Jesiek1.17111111113LSep 20 · 03:25J. Jesiek1.73711100W. Buczynski2.001113123WSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113
A. Szurgot10
LSep 20 · 13:05M. Skuril1.251111113A. Szurgot3.607490WSep 20 · 12:15A. Szurgot4.50111110113W. Buczynski1.17651261LSep 20 · 10:35A. Szurgot8.5085130W. Wojtaszczyk1.051111153LSep 20 · 09:50P. Polok1.0331111113A. Szurgot10.00115751LSep 20 · 08:35A. Szurgot5.0010811111W. Buczynski1.1412118133LSep 20 · 06:55A. Szurgot3.506760M. Skuril1.281111113LSep 20 · 05:40A. Szurgot8.0061060P. Polok1.061112113LSep 20 · 04:10A. Szurgot4.50113981J. Jesiek1.17111111113LSep 20 · 03:00A. Szurgot8.50211841W. Wojtaszczyk1.0511811113LSep 19 · 08:35A. Szurgot5.009880W. Buczynski1.141111113
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