TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311911119911––
Jerzy Pelka
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:46 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Pruszkowski above · Jerzy Pelka below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 59.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 26–19 Jerzy Pelka Jerzy Pelka has won 19 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Pruszkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-19 in 45
Pruszkowski
Wrong
gap of 7 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1406 vs Pelka 1399
Pruszkowski
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 80% vs Pelka 60%
Pruszkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 50% vs Pelka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski +2 · Pelka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pruszkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.57 / Pelka 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13164801
Pruszkowski1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 451 of 695
Up 2–0, closes it95% 229 of 241
Up 1–0, closes it83% 347 of 420
Pelka2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 86 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski6wins
AwayPelka4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski100%5 of 5
AwayPelka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski5Pelka5n = 10split evenly
S2Pruszkowski5Pelka5n = 10split evenly
S3Pruszkowski8Pelka2n = 10Pruszkowski took 8 of 10
S4Pruszkowski4Pelka2n = 6Pruszkowski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiPelkaPruszkowski − PelkaBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.134.4+1.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiPelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime1134 / 1797 vs 443 / 94463.1%46.9%1134 / 1797 vs 443 / 944Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.57/Pelka 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 06:30J. Pruszkowski32391191J. Pelka4211119113
LMar 5 · 13:45J. Pruszkowski4066111162J. Pelka47111168113
WMar 5 · 11:20J. Pruszkowski48111016113J. Pelka395121481
WJan 13 · 17:40J. Pruszkowski361114113J. Pelka2361250
WJan 13 · 11:40J. Pruszkowski4414711123J. Pelka4212119101
WNov 26 · 14:55J. Pruszkowski3961111113J. Pelka25116261
LNov 26 · 08:55J. Pruszkowski31911831J. Pelka3811511113
WOct 15 · 14:00J. Pruszkowski371511113J. Pelka2813780
LOct 15 · 07:30J. Pruszkowski196760J. Pelka331111113
WOct 9 · 13:55J. Pruszkowski351111133J. Pelka2797110
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 21 · 05:15J. Pruszkowski1.61117116113P. Przewlocki2.2091161172WSep 21 · 04:10R. Idaczyk3.001071181J. Pruszkowski1.3612116113LSep 21 · 03:25J. Pruszkowski1.6711771182P. Gumulinski2.10911118113WSep 20 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski1.201281115113M. Skorski3.85101161772WSep 20 · 12:40M. Sinicki4.501012461J. Pruszkowski1.17121011113WSep 20 · 11:50B. Wisniewski5.0011971162J. Pruszkowski1.12911117113LSep 20 · 11:00J. Pruszkowski1.167111191A. Eliasz4.4011136113LSep 20 · 09:50J. Pruszkowski1.0868100D. Poloszczanski4.901111123LSep 20 · 08:10B. Wisniewski3.101011715113J. Pruszkowski1.33127111382LSep 20 · 07:20D. Poloszczanski3.951111113J. Pruszkowski1.207790
J. Pelka10
WSep 21 · 05:40R. Idaczyk1.83810190J. Pelka1.831112213LSep 21 · 04:55J. Pelka1.8311914462P. Gumulinski1.838111211113WSep 21 · 03:50J. Pelka1.9181111133M. Skuril1.801184111LSep 19 · 08:00J. Pelka1.65891141T. Lojtek2.1011119113WSep 19 · 06:45J. Pelka1.3014811113M. Cesarz3.251211481WSep 19 · 05:35J. Pelka1.5411911113J. Kaczmarek2.25611791WSep 19 · 04:25W. Urban1.83117991J. Pelka1.8381111113LSep 19 · 03:35J. Pelka1.90111111121W. Pytlas1.8013813143WSep 18 · 14:40J. Pelka2.00141411113O. Vincenec1.7312121381LSep 18 · 13:05J. Pelka2.00146591L. Oracz1.73121111113
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