TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134826
Played Sep 16Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11612141311118––
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Wojciech Urban below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 86 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Wojciech Urban at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 9–8 Wojciech Urban Wojciech Urban has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 9h before this match
Przewlocki beat Urban 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:27What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Urban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1380 vs Urban 1415
Urban
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 40% vs Urban 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 50% vs Urban 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki +2 · Urban -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.20 / Urban 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Urban)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13134826
Przewlocki2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 129 of 336
Down 0–1, comes back23% 48 of 205
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 101
Urban1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 164 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it97% 66 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it74% 120 of 162
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki5wins
AwayUrban5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlockin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayUrban62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki2Urban8n = 10Urban took 8 of 10
S2Przewlocki9Urban1n = 10Przewlocki took 9 of 10
S3Przewlocki4Urban6n = 10Urban took 6 of 10
S4Przewlocki3Urban5n = 8Urban took 5 of 8
S5Przewlocki3Urban2n = 5Przewlocki took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiUrbanP − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match42.342.7−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime523 / 1096 vs 761 / 161147.7%47.2%523 / 1096 vs 761 / 1611Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanPrzewlocki 2.20/Urban 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 06:05P. Przewlocki381116113W. Urban3081480
WSep 8 · 09:50P. Przewlocki571313119113W. Urban51151171172
LSep 8 · 05:40P. Przewlocki214890W. Urban331111113
LSep 7 · 09:25P. Przewlocki521011121182W. Urban52127148113
WJul 14 · 21:00P. Przewlocki4413119113W. Urban341191131
LJul 14 · 16:35P. Przewlocki4491111582W. Urban50118911113
LJun 9 · 02:45P. Przewlocki401311881W. Urban4615911113
LJun 8 · 23:05P. Przewlocki34911771W. Urban4011711113
WMay 11 · 02:20P. Przewlocki43411611113W. Urban4411611792
WMay 10 · 18:20P. Przewlocki50611139113W. Urban47119111152
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 16 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.28891114113I. Szymanski3.50111141292WSep 16 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.9111411113K. Adamus1.80911661LSep 16 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.80101150R. Gajda1.911213113LSep 16 · 09:00P. Przewlocki2.75771171P. Gumulinski1.4011118113LSep 16 · 07:45R. Gajda1.73118138113P. Przewlocki2.00511111182WSep 16 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.50711751P. Przewlocki1.2811811113WSep 16 · 06:05P. Przewlocki1.831116113W. Urban1.8381480WSep 16 · 04:30P. Przewlocki2.251111113P. Gumulinski1.579490LSep 16 · 03:50K. Adamus1.671111113P. Przewlocki2.108680LSep 15 · 14:20P. Przewlocki2.009660K. Slawinski1.731111113
W. Urban10
LSep 16 · 13:30W. Urban2.208270P. Gumulinski1.611111113WSep 16 · 12:15I. Szymanski3.50111231162W. Urban1.28814119113LSep 16 · 11:00K. Adamus1.671113123W. Urban2.10611100WSep 16 · 09:25R. Gajda1.831013891W. Urban1.83121111113LSep 16 · 08:35I. Szymanski3.751191511113W. Urban1.2591117892WSep 16 · 07:20W. Urban2.10911811123P. Gumulinski1.67119117102LSep 16 · 06:05P. Przewlocki1.831116113W. Urban1.8381480WSep 16 · 04:55K. Adamus1.67117891W. Urban2.1091111113LSep 16 · 03:25R. Gajda1.918111011113W. Urban1.8011412772LSep 15 · 08:45W. Urban1.5711471172J. Nowak2.17711118113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.